Saturday, December 9, 2023

Tornado Watch



 

Until MIDNIGHT.

The current state of tornado watches across the map is kind of a mess. But this is the latest one. And the squall line is approaching Northwest Alabama, broken line of severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes. The threat goes until about Midnight. 

Of course we have had confirmed tornadoes in Tennessee already today. 



4:10 PM - And there is a confirmed tornado coming for Nashville, mainly the Northern part. Tuning into WKRN's coverage, always seen them do a good job. Hopefully everyone in the path can get off the roads and into a storm shelter, basement, or a small central room on the lowest floor of a sturdy house, away from windows. If you have time, get up under something sturdy and cover your head in case of any falling or flying debris. This is a Particularly Dangerous Situation. 

Ok I'm actually having better luck with the WSMV stream this time. Every tornado is important, but there are a lot of people in Nashville, and they had it rough a few years ago with a tornado. Hope everybody stays safe. I was just up there recent with some family. Looks like it's going to affect the Northern part more, but if you're anywhere in that polygon, please take this very seriously and stay sheltered until sure the danger is over. 




This is a confirmed tornado that has done damage and continues to show a debris ball. Hope nobody tries to ride this out in a mobile home or gets caught driving during it. If you have a sturdy building to get in - small room, lowest floor, near the center, away from windows, cover your head if you can, shield body from potential debris. If you have a storm shelter nearby, of course go there as your best choice. 

4:30 PM - Taking the wider view, there is another confirmed tornado further North toward the Kentucky state line. And there are numerous severe thunderstorms coming from Mississippi as a broken squall line continues to form. One of those storms has prompted a Severe Thunderstorm Warning that includes Wayne County, TN. So there too, it would be a good idea to take shelter until these storms pass. Even without a tornado, the threat for damaging winds can be a threat to life and property. 


4:33 - And gosh, people in Nashville, don't mess around with this tornado. If you are not already in your safe place, go there now. 



4:43 - The tornado appears to be passing North of downtown Nashville, but still, this is a case where you respect the polygon and remember there is always a margin for error with radar. In the path of either of these tornado-producing supercells up in Tennessee, hope people are in shelter. These are dangerous. 

4:50 - While they have a live cam of the tornado North of Nashville, closer to home, we have a severe thunderstorm warning for Lauderdale County and clipping Northwest Colbert County in Alabama. 

4:53 - Updated track for the confirmed tornado. 



5:06 PM - Next in line is Gallatin. This is being called a Tornado Emergency with a tornado capable of catastrophic level damage. The Nashville office doesn't use that kind of language often. Please get to a storm shelter or the underground part of a basement if possible ahead of this. Or at least get to a small interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy house - NOT a mobile home. 

5:09 - And the Storm Prediction Center is closely watching our main Tornado Watch that extends down into North Alabama. The storm mode is mixed, with supercells and line segments trying to form. Especially where we see any supercells, the tornado threat is enhanced. We've seen how bad it can get in Tennessee. We hope things don't get that bad down this way, but we have to play it safe in case even one spot were to get a tornado. We just have to take it seriously and err on the side of caution with this. Severe thunderstorms and isolated tornadoes are possible tonight in and close to this watch area. Have to especially watch for supercells trying to fire up along the AL/TN state line next few hours. 

5:25 - And that tornado continues its trek of terror through Tennessee. Seriously everyone in the path of this has to be sheltered. 

So far have heard of no deaths with the tornadoes today, so maybe the warning process worked, people got to safe enough places. I know there has been a lot of damage, some injuries, people had to be rescued . . .

5:31 - The only warning in our vicinity right now is a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Wayne County, TN. Another warning further North that will clip the northern part of the town of Columbia. That storm in Colbert County, AL is strong but believed to be under severe limits. 

SEL6


   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

   Tornado Watch Number 716

   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

   355 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2023


   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a


   * Tornado Watch for portions of 

     Western Alabama

     Southeast Arkansas

     Northeast Louisiana

     Mississippi


   * Effective this Saturday afternoon from 355 PM until Midnight

     CST.


   * Primary threats include...

     A few tornadoes possible

     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible


   SUMMARY...Severe storm risk including the potential for damaging

   winds and some tornadoes will increase through the evening, with the

   risk potentially continuing into the overnight.


   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles

   east and west of a line from Tupelo MS to 25 miles southeast of

   Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated

   watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).


 WOUS64 KWNS 092153

   WOU6


   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 716

   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

   355 PM CST SAT DEC 9 2023


   TORNADO WATCH 716 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 AM CST FOR THE

    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS


   ALC057-063-075-093-107-119-125-127-133-100600-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0716.231209T2155Z-231210T0600Z/


   AL 

   .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


   FAYETTE              GREENE              LAMAR               

   MARION               PICKENS             SUMTER              

   TUSCALOOSA           WALKER              WINSTON             



   ARC017-100600-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0716.231209T2155Z-231210T0600Z/


   AR 

   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


   CHICOT               



   LAC025-029-035-041-065-083-107-123-100600-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0716.231209T2155Z-231210T0600Z/


   LA 

   .    LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE


   CATAHOULA            CONCORDIA           EAST CARROLL        

   FRANKLIN             MADISON             RICHLAND            

   TENSAS               WEST CARROLL        



   MSC001-007-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-037-043-049-051-

   053-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-

   095-097-099-101-103-105-115-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-149-151-

   155-159-161-163-100600-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0716.231209T2155Z-231210T0600Z/


   MS 

   .    MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


   ADAMS                ATTALA              CALHOUN             

   CARROLL              CHICKASAW           CHOCTAW             

   CLAIBORNE            CLARKE              CLAY                

   COPIAH               COVINGTON           FRANKLIN            

   GRENADA              HINDS               HOLMES              

   HUMPHREYS            ISSAQUENA           ITAWAMBA            

   JASPER               JEFFERSON           JEFFERSON DAVIS     

   JONES                KEMPER              LAUDERDALE          

   LAWRENCE             LEAKE               LEE                 

   LEFLORE              LINCOLN             LOWNDES             

   MADISON              MONROE              MONTGOMERY          

   NESHOBA              NEWTON              NOXUBEE             

   OKTIBBEHA            PONTOTOC            RANKIN              

   SCOTT                SHARKEY             SIMPSON             

   SMITH                SUNFLOWER           TALLAHATCHIE        

   WARREN               WASHINGTON          WEBSTER             

   WINSTON              YALOBUSHA           YAZOO               



   ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...MEG...



   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for

   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch

   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for

   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements

   and possible warnings.


   &&


   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 714...WW 715...


   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail

   surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind

   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean

   storm motion vector 24035.


   ...Guyer

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