Wednesday, July 31, 2024

Staying Hot and Humid, Very Little Rain Overall

Thursday (High 97, Low 74): Mostly sunny. Hot and humid. 

Friday (High 96, Low 75): Mostly sunny, hot and humid. An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible. 

Saturday (High 92, Low 73): Partly cloudy. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.  

Sunday (High 90, Low 70): Mostly sunny. 

Monday (High 92, Low 71): Mostly sunny. 

Tuesday (High 94, Low 72): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Wednesday (High 95, Low 73): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

At 4 PM skies are partly cloudy in Cullman. The temperature is 91.4 degrees. The dewpoint is 75.2 degrees, making the relative humidity 59%. The heat index is 103 degrees. Winds are calm. The pressure is 30.07 inches and falling slowly at the moment. Looks like our High was 93 today, or technically 93.2, the Low 73.4 this morning. 

We are under a heat advisory through tomorrow. 




Rain has been scarce today as we remain under the influence of high pressure mainly. Georgia has had some showers and storms. 




Quite a few storms yesterday produced wind damage in Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, and even nearby states like the Carolinas. Today there have only been a couple of isolated damaging wind reports in Georgia. 

This time of year, when we get damaging winds in thunderstorms, they usually take down trees and power lines. But that is a big deal to the people directly affected. Or it can be. 

I only noticed one injury from yesterday's storms, where someone in Pulaski, Kentucky was injured by a falling tree. 




It looks like we will be staying hot and humid around here and mostly rain-free for the near future. 

The high pressure ridge looks strong tomorrow, and will forecast mostly sunny skies, rain chances too low to even bother about (less than 20%), High of about 96 or 97, but of course the humidity will make it feel over 105 degrees at times, is why we have the Heat Advisory. People can get sick faster than you'd think if they stay in that kind of heat, hottest parts of the day. Low should be about 74-75. 

Will bring back a minimal 20% of rain Friday with a High near 95, Low near 75. 




Then Saturday and Sunday we have a weak front trying to move through. And I think it will. So bump Saturday's rain chance up to 30% with a High only in the lower 90's, Low in lower 70's. And then for Sunday will remove the rain chances altogether, mostly sunny skies, High near 90, Low near 70. 

The ridge of high pressure will start to build back into the region after that. Highs should be in lower 90's, Lows in lower 70's, but by Wednesday we will likely see mid-90's again. Will keep rain chance out for Monday but bring back minimal chances starting Tuesday. 



A tropical wave over the Lesser Antilles is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. As it moves toward the Bahamas and then Cuba over about the next week, some development into a tropical cyclone is possible. Just something to still keep an eye on. But here we are at midweek, and the development we were concerned with over the weekend has not happened yet. I guess everyone is extra vigilant because of what happened with Hurricane Beryl crazy-early in the season. 


And most of us are going to see little or no rain for this forecast period. Welcome to . . . well we're nearly into August, so welcome to August in North Alabama. Lots of you already know what it's all about. 


And I think I'll post a few more times into August, and then if nobody is interested in this blog anymore, going to just let it die a natural death. Because it takes too much energy if it's not a two-way street. 

Heat Advisory

 URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

306 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-011200-

/O.CON.KHUN.HT.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240802T0000Z/

Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-

Marshall-Jackson-DeKalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-

Including the cities of Athens, Winchester, Estill Springs,

Florence, Cowan, Town Creek, Lynchburg, Sheffield, Sewanee,

Decatur, Fayetteville, Boaz, Russellville, Cullman, Guntersville,

Decherd, Scottsboro, Albertville, Arab, Rainsville, Muscle

Shoals, Red Bay, Huntsville, Moulton, Fort Payne, and Tuscumbia

306 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 109.


* WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northwest

  Alabama and southern middle Tennessee.


* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.


Take extra precautions when outside. Wear lightweight and loose

fitting clothing. Try to limit strenuous activities to early morning

or evening. Take action when you see symptoms of heat exhaustion and

heat stroke.


&&


$$


RSB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

224 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


ALZ011>013-022-023-030>034-039-040-011200-

/O.CON.KBMX.HT.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-240802T0200Z/

Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-

Bibb-Marengo-Dallas-

Including the cities of Fayette, Sulligent, Marion, Vernon,

Moundville, Linden, Eutaw, Livingston, Demopolis, Selma,

Hamilton, Carrollton, Tuscaloosa, Centreville, and Greensboro

224 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 108.


* WHERE...Bibb, Dallas, Fayette, Greene, Hale, Lamar, Marengo,

  Marion, Perry, Pickens, Sumter, and Tuscaloosa Counties.


* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and

pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any

circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible, reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stoke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when possible

and drink plenty of water.


To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and

Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in

shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat

should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an

emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

224 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


ALZ014-015-017-024>027-035>037-041>050-011200-

/O.CON.KBMX.HT.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-240802T0200Z/

Winston-Walker-Blount-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-

Chilton-Coosa-Tallapoosa-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-Montgomery-Macon-

Bullock-Lee-Russell-Pike-Barbour-

Including the cities of Columbiana, Double Springs, Union

Springs, Auburn, Rockford, Tuskegee, Hayneville, Sylacauga,

Moody, Fort Deposit, Eufaula, Tallassee, Birmingham, Alexander

City, Alabaster, Oneonta, Opelika, Dadeville, Troy, Clanton,

Talladega, Montgomery, Pelham, Jasper, Wetumpka, Pell City,

Prattville, Hoover, and Phenix City

224 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 107.


* WHERE...Autauga, Barbour, Blount, Bullock, Chilton, Coosa, Elmore,

  Jefferson, Lee, Lowndes, Macon, Montgomery, Pike, Russell, Shelby,

  St. Clair, Talladega, Tallapoosa, Walker, and Winston Counties.


* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and

pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any

circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible, reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stoke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when possible

and drink plenty of water.


To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and

Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in

shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat

should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an

emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

224 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


ALZ018>021-028-029-038-011200-

/O.CON.KBMX.HT.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-240802T0200Z/

Etowah-Calhoun-Cherokee-Cleburne-Clay-Randolph-Chambers-

Including the cities of Lafayette, Lanett, Roanoke, Gadsden,

Ashland, Anniston, Valley, Heflin, and Centre

224 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 105.


* WHERE...Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Etowah, and

  Randolph Counties.


* WHEN...Until 9 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and

pets should never be left unattended in vehicles under any

circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible, reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stoke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when possible

and drink plenty of water.


To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and

Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in

shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat

should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an

emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$


56

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Jackson MS

213 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


ARZ074-LAZ007-015-023>026-MSZ030-031-033-038-039-043>046-048>066-

072>074-010315-

/O.NEW.KJAN.HT.Y.0024.240801T1500Z-240802T0000Z/

/O.CON.KJAN.HT.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-240801T0000Z/

Ashley-Morehouse-Richland-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-

Clay-Lowndes-Oktibbeha-Winston-Noxubee-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-

Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-

Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-

Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-

Including the cities of Stonewall, Collins, North Crossett,

Bassfield, Jonesville, Pearl, Brooksville, Macon, Natchez,

Madison, Philadelphia, Morton, Conehatta, Carthage, Raleigh,

Winnsboro, Magee, Brookhaven, Union, New Hebron, Rayville,

Brandon, Newton, Laurel, Harrisonburg, Delhi, Hazlehurst, Wesson,

Monticello, Bude, Vidalia, Mendenhall, Starkville, Port Gibson,

Meadville, Waterproof, Hamburg, West Ferriday, Richland,

Louisville, Mount Olive, West Point, Crossett, Crystal Springs,

Columbia, Hattiesburg, Meridian, Canton, Forest, Quitman, Pearl

River, West Crossett, Roxie, Ferriday, Columbus, Jackson,

Heidelberg, St. Joseph, Prentiss, Lumberton, Decatur, Fayette,

Newellton, Bastrop, Scooba, Purvis, De Kalb, Ridgeland, Shubuta,

Taylorsville, Bay Springs, and West Hattiesburg

213 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...For the first Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 110.

  For the second Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 110 expected.


* WHERE...Portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and

  central, east central, northeast, south central, southeast, and

  southwest Mississippi.


* WHEN...For the first Heat Advisory, until 7 PM CDT this evening.

  For the second Heat Advisory, from 10 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.


Take extra precautions when outside. Wear lightweight and loose

fitting clothing. Try to limit strenuous activities to early morning

or evening. Take action when you see symptoms of heat exhaustion and

heat stroke.


To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and

Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in

shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat

should be moved to a cool and shaded location. Heat stroke is an

emergency! Call 9 1 1.


Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.


&&


$$


AJ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Memphis TN

207 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-010900-

/O.CON.KMEG.EH.W.0008.000000T0000Z-240801T0100Z/

/O.CON.KMEG.HT.Y.0018.240801T1500Z-240802T0100Z/

Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Prentiss-Lafayette-

Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-Itawamba-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Monroe-

Including the cities of Calhoun City, Booneville, Houston, Holly

Springs, Ripley MS, Bruce, Tupelo, Corinth, Oxford, New Albany,

Okolona, Ashland, Pontotoc, Iuka, Amory, Fulton, and Aberdeen

207 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS

EVENING...

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...For the Excessive Heat Warning, dangerously hot conditions

  with heat index values up to 111 degrees. For the Heat Advisory,

  heat index values up to 109 degrees expected.


* WHERE...A portion of North Mississippi.


* WHEN...For the Excessive Heat Warning, until 8 PM CDT this

  evening. For the Heat Advisory, from 10 AM to 8 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during

  extreme heat and high humidity events.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Memphis TN

207 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


TNZ053>055-090>092-010900-

/O.CON.KMEG.EH.W.0008.000000T0000Z-240801T0100Z/

/O.CON.KMEG.HT.Y.0018.240801T1500Z-240802T0100Z/

Chester-Henderson-Decatur-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-

Including the cities of Parsons, Decaturville, Bolivar, Savannah,

Henderson, Selmer, and Lexington

207 PM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS

EVENING...

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...For the Excessive Heat Warning, dangerously hot conditions

  with heat index values up to 112 degrees. For the Heat Advisory,

  heat index values up to 111 degrees expected.


* WHERE...Chester, Decatur, Hardeman, Hardin, Henderson, and McNairy

  Counties.


* WHEN...For the Excessive Heat Warning, until 8 PM CDT this

  evening. For the Heat Advisory, from 10 AM to 8 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Heat related illnesses increase significantly during

  extreme heat and high humidity events.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.


&&


$$


AEH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Peachtree City GA

225 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024


GAZ001>005-011>013-019>023-030>034-041>045-052>055-010630-

/O.NEW.KFFC.HT.Y.0010.240801T1400Z-240802T0100Z/

Dade-Walker-Catoosa-Whitfield-Murray-Chattooga-Gordon-Pickens-

Floyd-Bartow-Cherokee-Forsyth-Hall-Polk-Paulding-Cobb-North

Fulton-Gwinnett-Haralson-Carroll-Douglas-South Fulton-DeKalb-

Heard-Coweta-Fayette-Clayton-

Including the cities of Bremen, Rome, Summerville, Newnan,

Calhoun, Dalton, Fort Oglethorpe, Trenton, Cedartown, Franklin,

LaFayette, Cartersville, Douglasville, Gainesville, East Point,

Woodstock, Lawrenceville, Jasper, Dallas, Cumming, Carrollton,

Marietta, Chatsworth, Riverdale, Atlanta, Decatur, and Peachtree

City

225 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM EDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 108 expected.


* WHERE...Portions of north central, northwest, and west central

  Georgia.


* WHEN...From 10 AM to 9 PM EDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Nashville TN

1114 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


TNZ005>009-023>030-056>062-075-093>095-010900-

/O.CON.KOHX.HT.Y.0006.240731T1700Z-240802T0000Z/

Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Houston-Humphreys-

Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Perry-Hickman-

Lewis-Williamson-Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Bedford-Wayne-Lawrence-

Giles-

Including the cities of McEwen, Waverly, Pulaski, Lawrenceburg,

Clarksville, Columbia, Dickson, Dover, Hartsville, Lebanon,

Shelbyville, La Vergne, Waynesboro, Nashville, Erin, Lobelville,

Kingston Springs, Gordonsville, Mount Juliet, Tennessee Ridge,

Springfield, Franklin, Goodlettsville, Linden, Gallatin, South

Carthage, Carthage, New Johnsonville, Murfreesboro, Centerville,

Smyrna, Clifton, Hohenwald, Lafayette, Brentwood, Lewisburg,

Ashland City, and Hendersonville

1114 AM CDT Wed Jul 31 2024


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THURSDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 109 expected during afternoon hours

  with very little overnight relief.


* WHERE...All of Middle Tennessee except the Cumberland Plateau

  Region.


* WHEN...Until 7 PM CDT Thursday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of

the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors.


&&


$$


27


Monday, July 29, 2024

Severe T-Storm Warning



Did not get a weather radio alert tone for this one but saw it scrolling around online. We are also under a heat advisory. 


4:45 PM - Now the only warning left is for Jackson County, including Scottsboro and Stevenson for a risk of quarter-sized hail and wind gusts up to 60 mph. 

4:49 - And now that warning has been extended down into Dekalb County . . . 



5:22 PM - And the threat continues to drift farther south...

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

ALC043-095-103-292215-

/O.NEW.KHUN.SV.W.0105.240729T2127Z-240729T2215Z/


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

427 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024


The National Weather Service in Huntsville Alabama has issued a


* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Southern Marshall County in northeastern Alabama...

  Northeastern Cullman County in north central Alabama...

  Southeastern Morgan County in north central Alabama...


* Until 515 PM CDT.


* At 427 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Strawberry,

  or near Arab, moving east at 25 mph.


  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.


  SOURCE...Radar indicated.


  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage

           to roofs, siding, and trees.


* Locations impacted include...

  Albertville, Boaz, Guntersville, Arab, Douglas, Baileyton, High

  Point, Horton, Hulaco, and Eddy.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.


&&


LAT...LON 3414 8634 3421 8642 3426 8644 3425 8652

      3423 8652 3420 8655 3418 8655 3422 8673

      3437 8665 3434 8613 3418 8619 3412 8628

TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 277DEG 24KT 3428 8658


HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH


$$


KTW

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

ALC071-089-TNC051-103-292200-

/O.NEW.KHUN.SV.W.0104.240729T2121Z-240729T2200Z/


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

421 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024


The National Weather Service in Huntsville Alabama has issued a


* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Jackson County in northeastern Alabama...

  Central Madison County in north central Alabama...

  Southeastern Lincoln County in Middle Tennessee...

  Southern Franklin County in Middle Tennessee...


* Until 500 PM CDT.


* At 421 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line

  extending from 6 miles north of New Market to 6 miles southeast of

  Huntland to 9 miles south of Cowan, moving southeast at 30 mph.


  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.


  SOURCE...Radar indicated.


  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable

           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes,

           roofs, and outbuildings.


* Locations impacted include...

  Huntsville, Scottsboro, Bridgeport, Moores Mill, Meridianville,

  Redstone Arsenal, Hazel Green, Stevenson, Hollywood, and Huntland.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.


&&


LAT...LON 3475 8569 3472 8571 3460 8596 3463 8661

      3507 8651 3507 8626 3511 8589 3499 8586

      3499 8576 3475 8566

TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 321DEG 25KT 3501 8645 3498 8621 3504 8597


THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH


$$


KTW

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Morristown TN

528 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024


TNC011-065-292145-

/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0116.000000T0000Z-240729T2145Z/

Bradley TN-Hamilton TN-

528 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024


...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT

FOR SOUTHERN BRADLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES...


At 528 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of

Lakesite, or 8 miles west of Cleveland, moving southeast at 20 mph.


HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.


SOURCE...Radar indicated.


IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.


Locations impacted include...

Chattanooga, Cleveland, Soddy-Daisy, Lakesite, South Cleveland,

Harrison, East Cleveland, Wildwood Lake, Collegedale, and Hopewell.


This includes Interstate 75 in Tennessee between mile markers 11 and

27.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.


&&


LAT...LON 3520 8524 3528 8506 3520 8475 3501 8500

TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 310DEG 19KT 3518 8502


HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH


$$


27

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

TNC011-065-292200-

/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0117.240729T2126Z-240729T2200Z/


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Morristown TN

526 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024


The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a


* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Southwestern Bradley County in east Tennessee...

  Southeastern Hamilton County in east Tennessee...


* Until 600 PM EDT.


* At 525 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Harrison, or

  9 miles northeast of Chattanooga, moving southeast at 25 mph.


  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.


  SOURCE...Radar indicated.


  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.


* Locations impacted include...

  Chattanooga, Cleveland, Soddy-Daisy, Lakesite, South Cleveland,

  Harrison, Wildwood Lake, Collegedale, East Brainerd, and Red Clay

  State Park.


This includes Interstate 75 in Tennessee between mile markers 5 and

23.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.


&&


LAT...LON 3499 8516 3521 8524 3527 8507 3520 8493

      3499 8481

TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 333DEG 21KT 3514 8511


HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH


$$


27

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
ALC043-095-103-292215-
/O.NEW.KHUN.SV.W.0105.240729T2127Z-240729T2215Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
427 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024

The National Weather Service in Huntsville Alabama has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southern Marshall County in northeastern Alabama...
  Northeastern Cullman County in north central Alabama...
  Southeastern Morgan County in north central Alabama...

* Until 515 PM CDT.

* At 427 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Strawberry,
  or near Arab, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Albertville, Boaz, Guntersville, Arab, Douglas, Baileyton, High
  Point, Horton, Hulaco, and Eddy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3414 8634 3421 8642 3426 8644 3425 8652
      3423 8652 3420 8655 3418 8655 3422 8673
      3437 8665 3434 8613 3418 8619 3412 8628
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 277DEG 24KT 3428 8658

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

KTW
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
ALC071-089-TNC051-103-292200-
/O.NEW.KHUN.SV.W.0104.240729T2121Z-240729T2200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
421 PM CDT Mon Jul 29 2024

The National Weather Service in Huntsville Alabama has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Jackson County in northeastern Alabama...
  Central Madison County in north central Alabama...
  Southeastern Lincoln County in Middle Tennessee...
  Southern Franklin County in Middle Tennessee...

* Until 500 PM CDT.

* At 421 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from 6 miles north of New Market to 6 miles southeast of
  Huntland to 9 miles south of Cowan, moving southeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable
           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes,
           roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Huntsville, Scottsboro, Bridgeport, Moores Mill, Meridianville,
  Redstone Arsenal, Hazel Green, Stevenson, Hollywood, and Huntland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 8569 3472 8571 3460 8596 3463 8661
      3507 8651 3507 8626 3511 8589 3499 8586
      3499 8576 3475 8566
TIME...MOT...LOC 2121Z 321DEG 25KT 3501 8645 3498 8621 3504 8597

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

KTW
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
528 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

TNC011-065-292145-
/O.CON.KMRX.SV.W.0116.000000T0000Z-240729T2145Z/
Bradley TN-Hamilton TN-
528 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN BRADLEY AND SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES...

At 528 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of
Lakesite, or 8 miles west of Cleveland, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Chattanooga, Cleveland, Soddy-Daisy, Lakesite, South Cleveland,
Harrison, East Cleveland, Wildwood Lake, Collegedale, and Hopewell.

This includes Interstate 75 in Tennessee between mile markers 11 and
27.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3520 8524 3528 8506 3520 8475 3501 8500
TIME...MOT...LOC 2128Z 310DEG 19KT 3518 8502

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

27
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TNC011-065-292200-
/O.NEW.KMRX.SV.W.0117.240729T2126Z-240729T2200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Morristown TN
526 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024

The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southwestern Bradley County in east Tennessee...
  Southeastern Hamilton County in east Tennessee...

* Until 600 PM EDT.

* At 525 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Harrison, or
  9 miles northeast of Chattanooga, moving southeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Chattanooga, Cleveland, Soddy-Daisy, Lakesite, South Cleveland,
  Harrison, Wildwood Lake, Collegedale, East Brainerd, and Red Clay
  State Park.

This includes Interstate 75 in Tennessee between mile markers 5 and
23.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3499 8516 3521 8524 3527 8507 3520 8493
      3499 8481
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 333DEG 21KT 3514 8511

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

27

Sunday, July 28, 2024

Flash Flood Warning



 Flash Flood Warning

ALC043-103-282015-

/O.NEW.KHUN.FF.W.0012.240728T1719Z-240728T2015Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

1219 PM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


The National Weather Service in Huntsville has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  North Central Cullman County in north central Alabama...

  Southeastern Morgan County in north central Alabama...


* Until 315 PM CDT.


* At 1219 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated

  thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between

  1 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is

  1 to 3 inches in 1 hour. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to

  begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar and automated gauges.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Cullman, Good Hope, Baldwin, Vinemont, Eva, Phelan and Ryan

  Crossroads.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.


&&


LAT...LON 3412 8692 3422 8692 3436 8678 3438 8663

      3433 8659 3431 8661 3408 8686


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...1-3 INCHES IN 1 HOUR


$$


26

Flash Flood Warning

ALC075-093-282130-

/O.NEW.KBMX.FF.W.0013.240728T1737Z-240728T2130Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

Flash Flood Warning

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

1237 PM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


The National Weather Service in Birmingham has issued a


* Flash Flood Warning for...

  Marion County in northwestern Alabama...

  Lamar County in west central Alabama...


* Until 430 PM CDT.


* At 1237 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing

  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain

  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are

  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected

  to begin shortly.


  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.


  SOURCE...Radar.


  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban

           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as

           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.


* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...

  Hamilton, Vernon, Sulligent, Guin, Hackleburg, Detroit, Beaverton,

  Weston, Crews, Lamar County Airport, Blooming Grove, Brinn,

  Bedford, Crossville, Bear Creek, Henson Springs, Marion County

  Public Lake, Pikeville, Rankin Fite Airport and Byrd.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.


&&


LAT...LON 3432 8817 3431 8764 3392 8795 3371 8795

      3365 8826


FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED


$$


HR


Flood Advisory

National Weather Service Memphis TN

107 PM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


MSC057-081-095-282115-

/O.NEW.KMEG.FA.Y.0086.240728T1807Z-240728T2115Z/

/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

Itawamba MS-Lee MS-Monroe MS-

107 PM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...


* WHAT...Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive

  rainfall is expected.


* WHERE...A portion of North Mississippi, including the following

  counties, Itawamba, Lee and Monroe.


* WHEN...Until 415 PM CDT.


* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.


* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - At 107 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to

    thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream

    flooding. Between 3 and 4 inches of rain have fallen.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...

    Tupelo, Fulton, Tombigbee State Park, Shannon, Plantersville,

    Mantachie, Smithville, Tremont, Evergreen, New Salem,

    Fairview, Clay, Nettleton, Abney, Jacinto, Cardsville,

    Tilden, Dorsey, Ballardsville and Richmond.

  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3431 8867 3430 8856 3431 8854 3446 8819

      3408 8823 3404 8868 3424 8868



$$


ARS

Flood Advisory

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

1153 AM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


ALC057-127-133-282015-

/O.NEW.KBMX.FA.Y.0100.240728T1653Z-240728T2015Z/

/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

Fayette AL-Walker AL-Winston AL-

1153 AM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...


* WHAT...Small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is

  expected.


* WHERE...A portion of Central Alabama, including the following

  counties, Fayette, Walker and Winston.


* WHEN...Until 315 PM CDT.


* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.

  Overflowing poor drainage areas.


* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - At 1153 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to

    thunderstorms. This will cause small stream flooding. Between

    1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen.

  - Additional rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are expected over

    the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...

    Carbon Hill, Arley, Kansas, Nauvoo, Eldridge, Camp McDowell,

    Poplar Springs, Ashbank, Corinth Rec Area, Curry, Falls City,

    Smith Lake, Helicon, Nesmith, Lupton, Seymour Branch, Black

    Pond, Curtis Crossroads, Coon Creek and Cedrum Area.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3383 8773 3400 8756 3419 8713 3418 8711

      3399 8711 3399 8715 3398 8714 3376 8764



$$


HR

Flood Advisory

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

1126 AM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


ALC093-281845-

/O.EXT.KBMX.FA.Y.0099.000000T0000Z-240728T1845Z/

/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

Marion AL-

1126 AM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


...FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...


* WHAT...Small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall will

  continue as heavy rain moves back into the area.


* WHERE...A portion of Marion County in Central Alabama.


* WHEN...Until 145 PM CDT.


* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.

  Overflowing poor drainage areas.


* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - At 1126 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to

    thunderstorms. This will cause small stream flooding. Between

    2 and 3 inches of rain have fallen.

  - Additional rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are expected over

    the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...

    Hamilton, Hackleburg, Weston, Rankin Fite Airport,

    Shottsville, Bexar, Pigeye and Byrd.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3406 8821 3432 8817 3431 8774 3406 8801



$$


HR

Flood Advisory

National Weather Service Memphis TN

1106 AM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


MSC057-117-141-281915-

/O.NEW.KMEG.FA.Y.0085.240728T1606Z-240728T1915Z/

/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

Itawamba MS-Prentiss MS-Tishomingo MS-

1106 AM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024


...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...


* WHAT...Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive

  rainfall is expected.


* WHERE...A portion of North Mississippi, including the following

  counties, Itawamba, Prentiss and Tishomingo.


* WHEN...Until 215 PM CDT.


* IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas.


* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - At 1106 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to

    thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream

    flooding. Between 3.5 and 4.5 inches of rain have fallen.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...

    Iuka, Tishomingo State Park, Belmont, Mantachie, Tishomingo,

    Burton, Sandy Springs, Midway, Marietta, Golden, Paden,

    Thrasher, Moores Mill, Neil, Dennis, Hobo Station, Altitude,

    Holcut, Carter Branch and Mingo.

  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3451 8855 3476 8839 3476 8836 3478 8837

      3481 8812 3448 8815 3439 8837 3431 8854

      3451 8854



$$


ARS


Saturday, July 27, 2024

A Couple More Rainy Days, Then Typical Summer Pattern Gradually Returns

FORECAST:

Sunday (High 84, Low 73): Mostly cloudy, also periods of patchy fog possible. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, and some may produce heavy rainfall or even pose a risk for flash flooding. 

Monday (High 87, Low 72): Mostly cloudy, also patchy fog possible in the morning. Numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible, and some may still produce heavy rainfall. 

Tuesday (High 91, Low 71): Partly to mostly cloudy, seasonably hot and humid. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

Wednesday (High 94, Low 72): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Thursday (High 96, Low 73): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Friday (High 94, Low 72): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Saturday (High 92, Low 72): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

BEACH FORECAST:

Sunday (High 88, Low 80): Showers and thunderstorms likely. 

Monday (High 88, Low 79): Mostly cloudy with numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms possible. 

Tuesday (High 89, Low 79): Mostly cloudy with numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms possible. 

Rest of Week (Highs ~90, Lows ~80): Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. 

PRONÓSTICO:

Domingo (Máxima 84, Mínima 73): Mayormente nublado, también es posible que haya períodos de niebla irregular. Es probable que haya lluvias y tormentas eléctricas, y algunas pueden producir fuertes lluvias o incluso representar un riesgo de inundaciones repentinas.

Lunes (Máxima 87, Mínima 72): Mayormente nublado, también posible niebla irregular por la mañana. Es posible que se produzcan numerosas rondas de aguaceros y tormentas eléctricas, y algunas aún pueden producir fuertes lluvias.

Martes (Máxima 91, Mínima 71): Parcialmente o mayormente nublado, estacionalmente caluroso y húmedo. Es posible que se produzcan lluvias y tormentas aisladas.

PERSPECTIVA EXTENDIDA:

Miércoles (Máxima 94, Mínima 72): Parcialmente nublado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Jueves (Máxima 96, Mínima 73): Mayormente soleado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Viernes (Máxima 94, Mínima 72): Parcialmente nublado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Sábado (Máxima 92, Mínima 72): Parcialmente nublado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

PRONÓSTICO DE LA PLAYA:

Domingo (Máxima 88, Mínima 80): Probables lluvias y tormentas eléctricas.

Lunes (Máxima 88, Mínima 79): Mayormente nublado con numerosas rondas de lluvias y tormentas eléctricas posibles.

Martes (Máxima 89, Mínima 79): Mayormente nublado con numerosas rondas de lluvias y tormentas eléctricas posibles.

Resto de la Semana (Máximas ~90, Mínimas ~80): Parcialmente nublado con un 40% de probabilidad de lluvias y tormentas eléctricas dispersas.

DISCUSSION:

It was another unusually mild day with periods of rain (off-and-on) in Cullman. We saw a High of 86 and Low of 72. Jasper had a High of 90 and Low of 73. Haleyville had a High of 86 and Low of 73. The sun was out at times during the day, but we've stayed in this unsettled pattern with a lot higher coverage of rain each day than usual in July. 


Even here at about 6:45 PM CDT we have strong thunderstorms just North of Huntsville, also some heavier showers down around Tuscaloosa, and just a lot more rain on the board than you expect on a typical late July evening. This summer has been a weird one like last summer was, though I have to say I prefer this pattern to having windows blown out of buildings and a transformer knocked down, like we saw around here last summer during an August storm. This weird tropical rain forest phase is all right. We all know it could be worse. Usually we're cooking this time of year, and any rain we see is a cause for celebration. 




Not to run this point in the ground, but our pattern lately has been anomalous. Right now we've got a surface frontal boundary bisecting the state of Alabama diagonally and affecting much of the Southeast region. 




A lot more rain is on the way the next couple days, and we'll have to look out for some flash flooding issues here and there. The risk is not all that great, but it's enough to respect. Remember if you encounter flooded roadways or especially a bridge, stop and turn around . . . don't drown. You can't really tell how deep the water is or if a bridge may be washed out if the water is enough to cover the surface of the roadway. Once you're in it, it could be too late. So a little common sense will go a long way toward preventing any unfortunate incidents the next couple days if we do see instances of flash flooding. 



Tomorrow is the most likely day for that of any day in this forecast period. Tomorrow into tomorrow night/maybe very early Monday morning. The GFS, which is the least aggressive model with it this go-round, still shows enough moisture to put rain chances up in the likely category, 60% or greater. And of course we could have some thunderstorms. Looks like a High of about 83-84, Low about 72-73, mostly cloudy skies. 



For Monday going to bring the rain chance down to 50%. With a little more daytime heating, better chance at seeing thunderstorms or even an isolated strong thunderstorm. And again there is some risk of flash flooding, but I think that'll mainly be in the morning if we do see any issues. Tonight and again tomorrow through Sunday night, maybe early Monday, we will probably see periods of patchy fog thanks to several rounds of rain. So people who drive for a living may want to make a mental note of that. The model guidance isn't all that clear between the GFS/NAM/ECMWF, only showing the GFS above, but I think a 50% chance of rain is reasonable, and so is a High in the upper 80's, Low in the lower 70's. 



It looks like Tuesday this odd pattern will finally start to come to an end. High pressure is building back out West and spreading in our general direction. So our rain chances will start to become more scattered in nature again, forecasting a 40% chance for Tuesday, and our heat levels will reach more standard levels for this time of year, or at least head back in that direction. Expecting a High near 90 and Low near 70 for Tuesday. And of course the humidity will make it feel closer to 100 degrees at times, when there's no rain and not much clouds, hottest times of the day. But that's nothing unusual for this time of year. It will actually start to feel like summer again, so hope people enjoyed the break. 



Then rain chances come back to 30% for Wednesday which is more typical for this time of year. So any one spot's chances of getting a shower or thunderstorm will only be about 1-in-3, or 3 out of 10. It's about the same thing, just not if you do the exact math. But for all practical purposes, let's say a 1-in-3 chance at rain or a thunderstorm. No need getting nitpicky in the summer months. High should be in the lower 90's, Low in the lower 70's. One thing I will mention is that the heat indices could get up to 100-105 degrees at times due to the humidity. So the usual concerns with late July heat will return. Hope everyone enjoyed the rainforest feel for a while. 



Then Thursday, the first of August, the models want to keep us hot and dry. I mean we'll still be humid, but rain chances really not showing up via the GFS (shown above) or the ECMWF (which I'll just let you imagine since it's summertime, and it looks about the same, just a different color scheme to show us dry and rain elsewhere in the country). Will keep a 20% chance of rain in there out of respect for climatology, but should be a mostly sunny day and hot. The actual High temperature should reach the mid-90's, and it wouldn't surprise me at all to see Heat Indices around here reach the 105 degree mark thanks to the humidity. The Low should be in the lower 70's. 



Looks like the high pressure shifts down into the Gulf of Mexico on Friday. Looks like rain chance stays minimal, about 20%, so a 1-in-5 chance of any one spot getting wet, pretty standard for late July/early August. High should be in the lower-to-mid-90's, Low in the lower 70's. 




That high pressure continues to retreat a little on Saturday, enough it might justify raising our rain chance back to 30% around here. 


Especially since it looks like we'll have a stationary front parked roughly along the Kentucky/Tennessee state line. That could be a focus for showers and storms up that way, and then sometimes we get the leftovers from such systems. But rain should stay widely scattered, and we'll probably see a High more back toward the lower 90's again, Low still in the lower 70's. 



Now there is something to watch in the tropics over the next several days, as a weak disturbance in the Central Tropical Atlantic is expected to interact with a tropical wave. When this system reaches the Leeward Islands or Greater Antilles about midweek, it may form into a tropical depression. 






We do have some risk for flash flooding around here before the rain chances return to seasonal levels, the main chance coming tomorrow and tomorrow night through early Monday. And then you can see where the chances fizzle down quickly after that and shift to other parts of the country. 


Overall we'll see about an inch of average rainfall totals over the next week. A few places might see more like two inches, and that is more likely in Northeast Alabama up into adjacent parts of Tennessee, if you had to bet on anywhere getting heavier rain. But I wouldn't bet on it in summertime around here. 

Tropical Storm Milton - Expected to Affect Tampa Bay as Major Hurricane

Everyone in or near the track of this developing hurricane needs to be going over their safety plan . This is not looking good, especially f...