Wednesday, February 28, 2024
A Cold Snap For Now, Then Warming Up Again with Unsettled Pattern
Tuesday, February 27, 2024
Quick Forecast Update
So we had a lot of clouds around today and windy conditions. We are under a Wind Advisory. Which basically means things could blow off your porch.
We actually had some showers today, especially this morning, but mainly variable levels of cloudiness and strong wind gusts. The High in Cullman was 72 with a morning Low of 59.
The reason I'm posting another update is that I didn't feel the formal forecast format worked too well that I posted this morning. The timing of the front keeps looking quicker tomorrow too. So here, not going to go into a lot of technical details, but going to give you a less formal, plain-language version of what to expect. We're not even going to worry about the severe weather threat going on up in the Ohio Valley, because they have their own meteorologists up that way or just guys like me who pass along weather information without having a degree.
Tonight is going to be cloudy and windy, a Low in the lower 60's, probably not much in the way of even light rain beyond what we've had so far today.
Tomorrow is looking like just some rain in the morning, and the high wind gusts continuing, the air looking so stable that we're really not even worried about regular thunderstorms so much anymore, just rain, wind, and then . . . we'll probably make it up to the mid/upper 60's still, but it will be in the morning.
It is now looking like our temperature shift will come mid-to-late morning. So this is not a day it makes sense to post a High/Low and then maybe put a note trying to explain it. The temperature is likely to fall to the 40's before we even get to the Noon hour. And it will hover there as the rain slowly tapers off in the afternoon.
By daybreak on Thursday, we should be back down around 30 degrees. Will still have a North/Northeast breeze making it feel even colder. During the day Thursday, we'll see partly to mostly cloudy skies, staying breezy, but warming to about 53-54 degrees for the afternoon High.
Then the rain comes back Friday, showers are likely, just a cold rain, High in about the mid-50's and the morning's Low back up around 40.
Then Saturday we should make it up to the upper 60's with a lot of clouds hanging around but a mix of sunshine as well. Should start the day in the upper 40's. The chance of any one spot getting a shower on Saturday is only about 3 out of 10, or 30%. So if you have weekend plans outside, I would not cancel them, just have a way to get out of the rain if you need to.
Basically the same for Sunday as far as rain chances except they are even lower, 20%, which is more like a 1-in-5 chance of any one spot getting a shower or thunderstorm. So these weekend rain chances after Friday are only about what you'd see on a typical summer day. So yes, there are rain chances, but overall no big deal, pretty comfortable temperatures too, should start Sunday in the lower 50's and warm to about 70 degrees in the afternoon.
Then Monday and Monday night, we do have another front coming at us. Based on current trends, the threat for any stronger storms is looking very low. But rain and thunderstorms are likely Monday into Monday night. The High should be in the lower 70's, Low in mid-50's, maybe upper-50's if it gets a little more muggy.
And then the best bet for Tuesday, given that the computer models are wishy-washy on the timing, as is often the case a week in advance, is that rain is still likely, maybe some thunderstorms still in the mix, the High back down in about the mid-60's, the overnight Low between Monday and Tuesday somewhere in the 50's.
So there ya' go. Tomorrow looks cold and rainy and windy, if you just wanna' keep it simple. The cold may arrive as early as mid-morning, where previously, I was thinking it would get here in the afternoon. This front is moving fast. Might be good to backtrack and see which computer model was most consistent in showing this setup with the front just racing through here instead of the stormier looks that turned out not to verify at all.
Active Weather Pattern
FORECAST:
Today (High 75): Isolated showers possible, mainly this morning. Cloudy, warm, and windy.
Wednesday (High 69, Low 61): Rainy and windy. Temperatures dropping rapidly behind the cold front.
Thursday (High 53, Low 30): Partly to mostly cloudy and turning cold again. Still somewhat breezy, especially in the morning.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
Friday (High 56, Low 40): Showers likely.
Saturday (High 67, Low 49): Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Sunday (High 72, Low 55): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
Monday (High 70, Low 60): Rain and thunderstorms likely.
Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
221 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-272200-
/O.NEW.KHUN.WI.Y.0005.240227T1800Z-240228T1800Z/
Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-
Marshall-Jackson-DeKalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-
Including the cities of Boaz, Albertville, Lynchburg, Florence,
Muscle Shoals, Fort Payne, Estill Springs, Moulton, Fayetteville,
Decherd, Rainsville, Guntersville, Russellville, Red Bay, Arab,
Decatur, Sewanee, Sheffield, Huntsville, Tuscumbia, Cullman,
Cowan, Town Creek, Scottsboro, Athens, and Winchester
221 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON CST WEDNESDAY...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
expected.
* WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northwest
Alabama and southern middle Tennessee.
* WHEN...From noon today to noon CST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Secure outdoor objects.
&&
$$
HC
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
356 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024
TNZ012-013-035-036-081-082-098-272100-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.240227T1800Z-240228T1800Z/
Scott TN-Campbell-Morgan-Anderson-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Marion-
Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Oneida,
Smokey Junction, Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle,
La Follette, Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville,
Royal Blue, Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, Clinton, Cagle,
Dunlap, Cartwright, Lone Oak, Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine,
Mount Crest, Pikeville, Brayton, South Pittsburg,
Haletown (Guild), Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell,
Powells Crossroads, and Monteagle
356 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024 /256 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024/
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ WEDNESDAY...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
expected.
* WHERE...Portions of east Tennessee.
* WHEN...From 1 PM EST /noon CST/ Tuesday to 1 PM EST /noon CST/
Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
&&
$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Nashville TN
238 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-272100-
/O.CON.KOHX.WI.Y.0003.240227T1800Z-240228T1200Z/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
Including the cities of Murfreesboro, Linden, Smithville,
Altamont, Jamestown, Springfield, Goodlettsville, Centerville,
Cookeville, Tullahoma, La Vergne, Gallatin, Byrdstown,
Lobelville, Celina, Livingston, Allardt, Sparta, Tennessee Ridge,
New Johnsonville, Nashville, Smyrna, Hartsville, Shelbyville,
Ashland City, Gainesboro, South Carthage, Dover, Carthage,
Gordonsville, McMinnville, Waverly, McEwen, Hendersonville,
Dickson, Manchester, Pulaski, Lafayette, Lebanon, Columbia,
Brentwood, Spencer, Clarksville, Hohenwald, Kingston Springs,
Lawrenceburg, Woodbury, Erin, Waynesboro, Clifton, Franklin,
Lewisburg, Coalmont, Mount Juliet, and Crossville
238 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph
expected.
* WHERE...A portion of Middle Tennessee.
* WHEN...From noon today to 6 AM CST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
&&
$$
27
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
234 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>005-007-
008-010>012-020-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-272200-
/O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0003.240227T1300Z-240228T1200Z/
Clay-Greene-Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-
St. Francis-Lee AR-Phillips-Dunklin-Pemiscot-DeSoto-Marshall-
Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tunica-Tate-Coahoma-Quitman-Panola-
Tallahatchie-Lake-Obion-Weakley-Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-
Benton TN-Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Crockett-Madison-Chester-
Henderson-Decatur-Shelby-Fayette-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Piggott, Corning, Paragould, Jonesboro,
Harrisburg, Blytheville, Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City,
Marianna, Helena-West Helena, Kennett, Caruthersville, Southaven,
Olive Branch, Holly Springs, Ashland, Ripley MS, Corinth, Tunica,
Senatobia, Clarksdale, Marks, Batesville, Charleston,
Tiptonville, Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris, Dyersburg,
Humboldt, Milan, Huntingdon, Camden, Ripley TN, Covington,
Brownsville, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, Parsons,
Decaturville, Bartlett, Germantown, Collierville, Memphis,
Millington, Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, Selmer, and Savannah
234 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
expected.
* WHERE...Portions of East Arkansas, North Mississippi,
Southeast Missouri and West Tennessee.
* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 6 AM CST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
&&
$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
234 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
MSZ006-009-013>017-021>024-272200-
/O.EXB.KMEG.WI.Y.0003.240227T1300Z-240228T1200Z/
Tishomingo-Prentiss-Lafayette-Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-Itawamba-
Yalobusha-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Monroe-
Including the cities of Iuka, Booneville, Oxford, New Albany,
Pontotoc, Tupelo, Fulton, Water Valley, Coffeeville, Bruce,
Calhoun City, Houston, Okolona, Amory, and Aberdeen
234 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
expected.
* WHERE...Portions of North Mississippi.
* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 6 AM CST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
&&
$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson MS
159 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
LAZ024-026-MSZ026>033-036>039-042>046-048>054-059-271600-
/O.EXB.KJAN.WI.Y.0003.240227T1300Z-240228T1500Z/
Catahoula-Concordia-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-
Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Yazoo-
Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Jefferson-
Including the cities of Jonesville, Harrisonburg, Vidalia,
Ferriday, West Ferriday, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton,
Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Mathiston, West Point, Columbus,
Ackerman, Weir, Starkville, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens,
Goodman, Kosciusko, Louisville, Macon, Brooksville, Yazoo City,
Ridgeland, Madison, Canton, Carthage, Philadelphia, Pearl River,
De Kalb, Scooba, Jackson, Pearl, Brandon, Richland, Forest,
Morton, Newton, Union, Decatur, Conehatta, Meridian, Port Gibson,
Crystal Springs, Hazlehurst, Wesson, and Fayette
159 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to around 40 mph
expected.
* WHERE...Portions of northeast Louisiana and central
Mississippi.
* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 9 AM CST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
&&
$$
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
125 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
ALZ011>015-017>041-043-272100-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WI.Y.0005.240227T1800Z-240228T1800Z/
Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Etowah-Calhoun-
Cherokee-Cleburne-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-
Talladega-Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-
Coosa-Tallapoosa-Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Elmore-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Sulligent, Vernon, Fayette,
Double Springs, Jasper, Oneonta, Gadsden, Anniston, Centre,
Heflin, Carrollton, Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Hoover, Columbiana,
Pelham, Alabaster, Pell City, Moody, Talladega, Sylacauga,
Ashland, Roanoke, Livingston, Eutaw, Greensboro, Moundville,
Marion, Centreville, Clanton, Rockford, Alexander City,
Dadeville, Valley, Lanett, Lafayette, Demopolis, Linden, Selma,
Prattville, Wetumpka, and Tallassee
125 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph
expected.
* WHERE...Portions of central Alabama.
* WHEN...From noon today to noon CST Wednesday.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.
Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may
result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.
&&
$$
Monday, February 26, 2024
Quick Forecast Update
Only going to do a bullets-point forecast this evening. Yesterday a member of my extended family suffered a stroke and is recuperating from a very frightening couple of days. The situation has knocked the wind out of me. This is not a paying gig, so we're only doing bullet points this time.
It was mostly sunny in the Tennessee Valley today with a good southerly breeze. Even this morning, winds were gusting up to 20 miles per hour or more. The High in Cullman was 73 after a morning Low of 50. Jasper got up to 75 degrees after a morning Low of 39. Haleyville had a High of 73 and Low of 49.
So things are quiet for now overall. Tomorrow we'll get up to about 75 degrees with clouds and winds on the increase.
Sunday, February 25, 2024
Warm and Sunny Tomorrow, Then Clouds and Rain/Storms Return by Wednesday
Today (High 66): Sunny. Mild.
Tonight (Low 46): Clear. Cool.
Tomorrow (High 71): Mostly sunny. Warmer and becoming breezy.
Tuesday (High 75, Low 57): Partly to mostly cloudy. Warm and windy.
Wednesday (High 72, Low 61): Rainy and windy. Isolated thunderstorms are possible, and some could be strong.
Thursday (High 53, Low 32): Mostly sunny.
Friday (High 56, Low 38): Partly to mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers.
Saturday (High 61, Low 43): Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers.
Sunday (High 65, Low 46): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers.
Winter Storm to Affect the Rockies and Nearby
Just passing this along since usually I stay locked into our local weather, but this is a story in the bigger picture.
Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
234 AM EST Sun Feb 25 2024
Valid 12Z Sun Feb 25 2024 - 12Z Tue Feb 27 2024
...Heavy snow over parts of the Cascades, the Northern Intermountain
Region, Northern/Central Rockies, and higher elevations of the Great
Basin...
...Light snow over parts of the Northeast and snow over the Northern
Plains on Monday...
...Heavy snow over parts of the Sierra Nevada Mountains on Monday...
A strong winter storm and cold front will move into the Northwest on
Sunday and progress southeastward into the Northern Rockies on Monday.
Heavy mountain snow over the Cascades will impact the passes by late
Sunday, with greater than 80% chance of at least a foot of snow above
1500ft through early Tuesday. In addition, snowfall will sometimes become
heavy, with rates of 1-2 inches per hour, along with windy conditions,
creating areas of blowing snow and drifting snow and significantly
reducing visibility.
Furthermore, snow squalls are likely along the path of the cold front on
Monday over the Northern Intermountain Region/Rockies, which could create
a rapid drop in visibility and icing on roadways, leading to dangerous
travel. Additionally, much colder air behind the strong cold front will
drop temperatures into the teens and colder by Tuesday morning.
Further, the system will produce coastal rain over the Northwest, with
snow levels lowering to near sea level after the front passes. Overnight
Sunday, rain will move into parts of California, with higher-elevation
snow. Moreover, on Monday, heavy snow will impact the Sierra Nevada
Mountains. A wave of low pressure will move over parts of the Northern
Plains by Monday evening as snow develops over the region. There is also a
risk of rain/freezing rain moving over parts of the Upper Mississippi
Valley.
Meanwhile, moisture from the Western Gulf of Mexico will stream northward
over the Southern Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi Valley, and Ohio
Valley. The moisture will aid in creating scattered light rain showers
over parts of the Ohio Valley overnight Sunday into Monday. By Tuesday,
the moisture will produce showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Ohio
Valley. Furthermore, upper-level energy will assist in creating light snow
over parts of the Northeast overnight Sunday into Monday evening.
Ziegenfelder
Graphics available at
Saturday, February 24, 2024
Cold Tomorrow Morning, Then a Warming Trend/A Couple Sunny Days, Then Storms Coming in Wednesday
Friday, February 23, 2024
Plenty of Sunshine Through Early Next Week, Unsettled Pattern Returns Wednesday
Thursday, February 22, 2024
Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1156 AM CST Thu Feb 22 2024
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-230100-
/O.NEW.KHUN.WI.Y.0004.240222T1800Z-240223T0100Z/
Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-
Marshall-Jackson-DeKalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-
Including the cities of Russellville, Huntsville, Decherd,
Sewanee, Lynchburg, Sheffield, Decatur, Winchester, Florence,
Boaz, Rainsville, Albertville, Cowan, Athens, Moulton, Muscle
Shoals, Red Bay, Town Creek, Estill Springs, Cullman, Tuscumbia,
Scottsboro, Fayetteville, Guntersville, Fort Payne, and Arab
1156 AM CST Thu Feb 22 2024
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...
* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 to 40 mph
expected.
* WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northwest
Alabama and southern middle Tennessee.
* WHEN...Until 7 PM CST this evening.
* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
Secure outdoor objects.
&&
$$
KTW
Some Rain Tonight, Very Nice Weekend, Warming Up Next Week with Potential for Some Storms
Wednesday, February 21, 2024
Some Rain Tomorrow Night, Otherwise Mild and Sunny Days
FORECAST:
Thursday (High 69, Low 48): Mostly cloudy and breezy during the day. Showers are likely at night - an isolated thunderstorm is also possible.
Friday (High 63, Low 50): Mostly sunny. Staying breezy.
Saturday (High 60, Low 34): Sunny. Still breezy.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
Sunday (High 66, Low 36): Sunny.
Monday (High 70, Low 47): Mostly sunny.
Tuesday (High 73, Low 58): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm.
Wednesday (High 71, Low 60): Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Tuesday, February 20, 2024
Sunny, Mild Days for the Most Part/Some Rain Late Thursday
(Forecast)
Wednesday (High 67, Low 36): Mostly sunny. Seasonably cool.
Thursday (High 69, Low 48): Partly cloudy and breezy with widely scattered showers/a thunderstorm possible during the day. Rain showers are likely at night, but the rain is expected to be light.
Friday (High 61, Low 47): Mostly sunny and still a little breezy. Some clouds or an isolated shower may linger in the early morning.
(Extended Outlook)
Saturday (High 60, Low 34): Sunny.
Sunday (High 66, Low 35): Sunny.
Monday (High 70, Low 46): Mostly sunny.
Tuesday (High 72, Low 54): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Monday, February 19, 2024
Plenty of Sunshine and Seasonable Temperatures, Some Rain Thursday Night
Tuesday (High 60, Low 30): Mostly sunny. Cold in the morning, cool in the afternoon.
Wednesday (High 67, Low 36): Mostly sunny. Seasonably cool.
Thursday (High 68, Low 49): Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated showers possible during the day. Then showers are likely at night - an isolated thunderstorm is also possible in the mix.
Friday (High 61, Low 47): Mostly sunny.
Saturday (High 63, Low 34): Sunny.
Sunday (High 69, Low 38): Sunny.
Monday (High 72, Low 50): Partly to mostly sunny.
Sunday, February 18, 2024
Sunshine and Seasonable Temperatures, a Little Rain Thursday Night
The front that brought us a little rain night before last is now a weak stalled boundary over about Miami and adjacent waters. Our weather this week for the most part will be coming from the high pressure currently centered over Texas. Notice another area of high pressure up there in the Carolinas. At the moment, our upper-level winds at 500 millibars (about 18,000 feet) are split, Southwest flow around here in the Tennessee Valley, and a Northwest flow for the Ohio River Valley.
Saturday, February 17, 2024
Plenty of Sunshine, Cold Mornings and Cool Afternoons, Some Rain Late Thursday
FORECAST:
Sunday (High 50, Low 22): Sunny but cold. Breezy in the early morning.
Washington's Birthday (High 56, Low 24): Sunny. Staying pretty cold.
Tuesday (High 61, Low 29): Mostly sunny. Seasonably cold.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
Wednesday (High 67, Low 36): Mostly sunny.
Thursday (High 69, Low 48): Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Friday (High 58, Low 47): Partly to mostly sunny.
Saturday (High 57, Low 30): Sunny.
READING TEA LEAVES:
Sunday February 25 (High 62, Low 31): Sunny.
Monday February 26 (High 66, Low 35): Mostly sunny.
Tuesday February 27 (High 70, Low 47): Partly to mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
PRONÓSTICO:
Domingo (Máxima 50, MÃnima 22): Soleado pero frÃo. Ventoso temprano en la mañana.
Cumpleaños de Washington (Máxima 56, MÃnima 24): Soleado. Mantenerse bastante frÃo.
Martes (Máxima 61, MÃnima 29): Mayormente soleado. Estacionalmente frÃo.
PERSPECTIVA EXTENDIDA:
Miércoles (Máxima 67, MÃnima 36): Mayormente soleado.
Jueves (Máxima 69, MÃnima 48): Parcialmente a mayormente nublado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.
Viernes (Máxima 58, MÃnima 47): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado.
Sábado (Máxima 57, MÃnima 30): Soleado.
LEYENDO LAS HOJAS DE TÉ:
Domingo 25 de febrero (Máxima 62, MÃnima 31): Soleado.
Lunes 26 de febrero (Máxima 66, MÃnima 35): Mayormente soleado.
Martes 27 de febrero (Máxima 70, MÃnima 47): Parcialmente a mayormente nublado con un 30 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.
NOTES:
Our drought is just about over, read all about it here.
The National Weather Service in Birmingham has started scheduling SKYWARN classes, mainly online ones, ahead of our primary severe weather season in the Spring.
And it looks like my Spanish editions of forecasts are going to be like 10-Day Outlooks. It's sort of like Eugene Burger struggled with whether or not to keep including tricks with sponge balls in his magic shows, don't think he ever did completely give them up. I personally loved the way he did that trick, even though it's been in probably every magic kit for the last 50 years or more. He thought it wasn't as dignified as his other magic.
DISCUSSION:
It has been a cold and breezy day in the Tennessee Valley, even though the clouds started to break up and let the sunshine back through in the afternoon. Winds have been out of the North with gusts up to 20 miles per hour or so. The High in Cullman was 41 with a Low of 30 so far. We are currently at 36 degrees as of 4:30 PM. It's one of those days when the temperatures can go the wrong way. That "High" of 41 occurred just after Midnight, way early this morning. The Low of 30 did occur about when you'd expect, between about 7-9 AM, so not long after daybreak. Since all the other sites are kind of funky like that, I'm just going to give current temperatures for the other places around the area. Jasper has sunny skies and 41 degrees this evening, winds from the North at 10 mph. Haleyville is sunny and 38, North winds at 8.
Fort Payne is sunny and 37. Decatur is sunny and 39. Huntsville is overcast and 38. Winchester is sunny and 34. Fayetteville is sunny and 34 also, the winds there gusting all the way to 21 miles per hour, from the North. North winds gusting up to 17 mph in Savannah, on the Western side of Southern Middle Tennessee, nice to see their observations back online, they have sunny skies and 37 degrees. Muscle Shoals has fair skies and 41. Tupelo also has fair skies and 41 degrees, and note the wind there is sustained at 15 mph from the North, not gusts, but sustained. The wind chill there is 33 degrees. And most of us today have felt even colder than we really were technically because of the breeze behind this front. It is mostly cloudy and 37 in Memphis, North winds at 13 mph. And it is partly cloudy and 36 in Nashville, North winds at 12 miles per hour.
Here is that four-dimensional view of the weather that Chuck Doswell talked about in "The Operational Meteorology of Convective Weather." By radar, satellite, upper-air map (500 millibars here), and surface analysis, you can see what's going on. The cold front has cleared the area and is down in the Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula now. It did indeed bring us only light rain, mainly last night. Behind it, we have high pressure moving this way from out in the Great Plains, centered along the Kansas/Oklahoma state line. By the way, when I said I was only reading one meteorology textbook at a time, that's no longer true. I've got bookmarks in three, although two are digital. And I am getting through them slowly. Only one is a real book, other two are e-books. And they are on the back burner of books I've got bookmarks in. I hope I'm learning something that will improve the quality of forecasts here. I keep coming back to this weather forecasting stuff like many people do to an abusive spouse, or like a drunk to the next bottle of liquor. And when I put it that way, I realize that there are worse things to be sort of addicted to.
Staying Sunny, Cooler Air on the Way/Hurricane Milton Expected to Have Major Impacts on Florida Peninsula
Monday (High 81, Low 60): Mostly sunny and breezy. Patchy fog possible in the early morning. Tuesday (High 77, Low 50): Sunny. Cool. Wednes...
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(Forecast) Father's Day (High 88, Low 64): Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible during the day. Thunderstorms...
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(Forecast) Monday (High 87, Low 69): Partly cloudy. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. Tuesday (High 84, Low 68): Par...
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FORECAST: Wednesday (High 86, Low 69): Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible during the day. Rain is likely at nig...