Thursday, July 27, 2023

Heat Advisory


This covers about the Western two-thirds of our area. See here for the latest forecast. 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

146 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


ALZ001>007-016-TNZ076-096-281000-

/O.NEW.KHUN.HT.Y.0004.230728T1700Z-230729T0000Z/

Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-

Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-

Including the cities of Florence, Muscle Shoals, Sheffield,

Tuscumbia, Russellville, Red Bay, Moulton, Town Creek, Athens,

Huntsville, Decatur, Cullman, Lynchburg, and Fayetteville

146 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 105-109 expected.


* WHERE...In Alabama, Lauderdale, Colbert, Franklin AL,

  Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Morgan and Cullman Counties. In

  Tennessee, Moore and Lincoln Counties.


* WHEN...From noon to 7 PM CDT Friday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses to occur.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out

of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young

children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles

under any circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when

possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational

Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent

rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone

overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.

Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Jackson MS

230 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>039-280330-

/O.NEW.KJAN.HT.Y.0019.230728T1500Z-230729T0100Z/

Ashley-Chicot-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-

Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-

Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-

Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg,

West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Cleveland,

Indianola, Ruleville, Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden,

North Carrollton, Carrollton, Winona, Eupora, Mathiston,

West Point, Columbus, Ackerman, Weir, Starkville, Greenville,

Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula, Lexington, Pickens, Goodman,

Kosciusko, Louisville, Macon, and Brooksville

230 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 108 expected.


* WHERE...Portions of southeast Arkansas and central, east

  central, north central, northeast and northwest Mississippi.


* WHEN...From 10 AM to 8 PM CDT Friday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses to occur.




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out

of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young

children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles

under any circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when

possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational

Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent

rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone

overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.

Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$


AJ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

213 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


ALZ011>015-017-022>027-030>036-039>044-281200-

/O.CON.KBMX.HT.Y.0008.230728T1700Z-230729T0000Z/

Marion-Lamar-Fayette-Winston-Walker-Blount-Pickens-Tuscaloosa-

Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-

Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Lowndes-Elmore-

Montgomery-

Including the cities of Hamilton, Sulligent, Vernon, Fayette,

Double Springs, Jasper, Oneonta, Carrollton, Tuscaloosa,

Birmingham, Hoover, Columbiana, Pelham, Alabaster, Pell City,

Moody, Talladega, Sylacauga, Livingston, Eutaw, Greensboro,

Moundville, Marion, Centreville, Clanton, Rockford, Demopolis,

Linden, Selma, Prattville, Fort Deposit, Hayneville, Wetumpka,

Tallassee, and Montgomery

213 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 106 expected.


* WHERE...Portions of central Alabama.


* WHEN...From noon to 7 PM CDT Friday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses to occur.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out

of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young

children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles

under any circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when

possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational

Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent

rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone

overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.

Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Memphis TN

208 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


MSZ002>006-009-013>017-021>024-TNZ052>055-090>092-280315-

/O.NEW.KMEG.HT.Y.0012.230728T1700Z-230729T0000Z/

Marshall-Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Prentiss-Lafayette-

Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-Itawamba-Yalobusha-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Monroe-

Madison-Chester-Henderson-Decatur-Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-

Including the cities of Holly Springs, Ashland, Ripley MS,

Corinth, Iuka, Booneville, Oxford, New Albany, Pontotoc, Tupelo,

Fulton, Water Valley, Coffeeville, Bruce, Calhoun City, Houston,

Okolona, Amory, Aberdeen, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington, Parsons,

Decaturville, Bolivar, Selmer, and Savannah

208 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 106 expected.


* WHERE...Portions of North Mississippi and West Tennessee.


* WHEN...From noon to 7 PM CDT Friday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses to occur.




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out

of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young

children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles

under any circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when

possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational

Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent

rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone

overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.

Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Memphis TN

208 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001-007-008-

010>012-020-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>051-088-089-280315-

/O.NEW.KMEG.HT.Y.0012.230728T1700Z-230729T0000Z/

/O.CON.KMEG.HT.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-230728T0000Z/

Clay-Greene-Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-

St. Francis-Lee AR-Phillips-Dunklin-Pemiscot-DeSoto-Tunica-Tate-

Coahoma-Quitman-Panola-Tallahatchie-Lake-Obion-Weakley-Henry-Dyer-

Gibson-Carroll-Benton TN-Lauderdale-Tipton-Haywood-Crockett-

Shelby-Fayette-

Including the cities of Piggott, Corning, Paragould, Jonesboro,

Harrisburg, Blytheville, Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City,

Marianna, Helena, West Helena, Kennett, Caruthersville,

Southaven, Olive Branch, Tunica, Senatobia, Clarksdale, Marks,

Batesville, Charleston, Tiptonville, Union City, Martin, Dresden,

Paris, Dyersburg, Humboldt, Milan, Huntingdon, Camden, Ripley TN,

Covington, Brownsville, Alamo, Bartlett, Germantown,

Collierville, Memphis, Millington, Somerville, and Oakland

208 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...


* WHAT...For the first Heat Advisory, heat index values up to

  108. For the second Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 109

  expected.


* WHERE...Portions of East Arkansas, North Mississippi,

  Southeast Missouri and West Tennessee.


* WHEN...For the first Heat Advisory, until 7 PM CDT this

  evening. For the second Heat Advisory, from noon to 7 PM CDT

  Friday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses to occur.




PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out

of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young

children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles

under any circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when

possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational

Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent

rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone

overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.

Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Nashville TN

137 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


TNZ005>008-023>027-059-280200-

/O.NEW.KOHX.HT.Y.0005.230728T1700Z-230729T0000Z/

/O.CON.KOHX.HT.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-230728T0000Z/

Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-

Cheatham-Davidson-Williamson-

Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield,

Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Tennessee Ridge,

Waverly, New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City,

Kingston Springs, Nashville, Franklin, and Brentwood

137 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...


* WHAT...For the first Heat Advisory, heat index values up to

  105. For the second Heat Advisory, heat index values up to 107

  expected.


* WHERE...Stewart, Montgomery, Robertson, Sumner, Houston,

  Humphreys, Dickson, Cheatham, Davidson and Williamson Counties.


* WHEN...For the first Heat Advisory, until 7 PM CDT this

  evening. For the second Heat Advisory, from noon to 7 PM CDT

  Friday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses to occur.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out

of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young

children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles

under any circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when

possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational

Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent

rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone

overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.

Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Nashville TN

137 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


TNZ009-028>030-056>058-060>062-075-093>095-280200-

/O.NEW.KOHX.HT.Y.0005.230728T1700Z-230729T0000Z/

Macon-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Maury-Marshall-

Rutherford-Bedford-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-

Including the cities of Lafayette, Lebanon, Mount Juliet,

Hartsville, Carthage, South Carthage, Gordonsville, Linden,

Lobelville, Centerville, Hohenwald, Columbia, Lewisburg,

Murfreesboro, Smyrna, La Vergne, Shelbyville, Clifton,

Waynesboro, Lawrenceburg, and Pulaski

137 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2023


...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM CDT FRIDAY...


* WHAT...Heat index values up to 107 expected.


* WHERE...Portions of Middle Tennessee.


* WHEN...From noon to 7 PM CDT Friday.


* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat

  illnesses to occur.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out

of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young

children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles

under any circumstances.


Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When

possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or

evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat

stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when

possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational

Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent

rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone

overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.

Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.


&&


$$

Mainly Staying Hot and Dry

(Forecast)

Friday (High 95, Low 71): Sunny. Seasonably hot and humid.

Saturday (High 94, Low 73): Mostly sunny. Seasonably hot and humid.

Sunday (High 96, Low 72): Sunny. Seasonably hot and humid.

(Extended Outlook)

Monday (High 94, Low 71): Mostly sunny.

Tuesday (High 94, Low 69): Mostly sunny.

Wednesday (High 92, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Thursday (High 90, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

(Tea Leaves Territory)

Friday (High 91, Low 69): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Saturday (High 94, Low 67): Mostly sunny.

Sunday (High 92, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

(Beach Forecast)

Friday (High 89, Low 77): Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Saturday (High 89, Low 79): Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Sunday (High 90, Low 80): Partly cloudy and lightly breezy at times. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Rest of Next Week (Highs near 90, Lows near 80): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

(Pronóstico)

Viernes (Alta 95, Baja 71): Soleado. Temporada cálida y húmeda.

Sábado (Alta 94, Baja 73): Mayormente soleado. Temporada cálida y húmeda.

Domingo (Alta 96, Baja 72): Soleado. Temporada cálida y húmeda.

(Perspectiva extendida)

Lunes (Alta 94, Baja 71): Mayormente soleado.

Martes (Alta 94, Baja 69): Mayormente soleado.

Miércoles (Alta 92, Baja 70): Parcialmente nublado con un 20% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Jueves (Alta 90, Baja 70): Parcialmente nublado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

(Territorio de las hojas de té)

Viernes (Alta 91, Baja 69): Parcialmente nublado con un 20% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Sábado (Alta 94, Baja 67): Mayormente soleado.

Domingo (Alta 92, Baja 70): Parcialmente nublado con un 20% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

(Pronóstico de la playa)

Viernes (Alta 89, Baja 77): Parcialmente nublado. Posibles chubascos y tormentas aisladas.

Sábado (Alta 89, Baja 79): Parcialmente nublado. Posibles chubascos y tormentas aisladas.

Domingo (High 90, Low 80): Parcialmente nublado y con brisa ligera a veces. Es posible que haya lluvias y tormentas dispersas.

Resto de la próxima semana (máximas cerca de 90, mínimas cerca de 80): Parcialmente nublado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Couple Tornadoes in Madison County Recently

Thanks to the National Weather Service in Huntsville staff for reminding me where to find these statements, since Elon Musk's reign of terror on Twitter has proceeded to incapacitate Daryl Herzmann's excellent "IEMBOT" accounts. Which I had come to rely on for things like this.  

000

NOUS44 KHUN 231718

PNSHUN

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-240530-


Public Information Statement

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

1218 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2023


...NWS Damage Survey for 07/21/23...


..Hampton Cove Tornado...


Rating:                 EF1

Estimated Peak Wind:    93 mph

Path Length /statute/:  7.1 miles

Path Width /maximum/:   50.0

yards Fatalities:       0

Injuries:               0


Start Date:             07/21/2023

Start Time:             5:26 PM CDT

Start Location:         7 NNW Owens Crossroads / Madison County / AL

Start Lat/Lon:          34.6763 / -86.5016


End Date:               07/21/2023

End Time:               5:37 PM CDT

End Location:           4 SW Paint Rock / Madison County / AL

End Lat/Lon:            34.623 / -86.3944


Survey Summary:

The tornado initially touched down northwest of Highway 431 S. in

Hampton Cove along Paul Drive off of Old Big Cove Road. It skipped

south and east as it crossed Highway 431 at Hampton Cove Cemetery,

causing sporadic tree and limb damage. From there the tornado

moved southeast as it approached Old Highway 431, crossing

portions of the Robert Trent Jones Golf Trail at Hampton Cove.

Sporadic tree damage was noted along Masters Drive, Augusta Trace,

and Hampton Cove Way into the main entrance of the neighborhood on

the Bypass. Trees were snapped and uprooted at this location near

the waterfall at the entrance to the subdivision, and tornado

width was estimated at about 40 yards.


From here, the tornado continued south and east across mainly

rural portions of the golf course as it approached Old Highway

431 heading to Cherry Tree. Trees were downed at the ball fields

at this location, before the tornado strengthened as it approached

homes further down Cherry Tree Road. A home suffered damage when

trees were blown down onto the structure, as well as trees snapped

near the bases at this location. The tornado was at its strongest

at this location, with 93mph wind speeds and a width of 50 yards

as it snapped the trees about 2-5 feet from their bases.


From this point south and east the tornado produced sporadic tree

damage following Goose Creek along Cherry Tree Road. The last

noted damage occurred near the intersection of Cherry Tree Road

and Old Gurley Pike. Additional satellite data may be necessary to

get an official end point as the road network ended, and trees

may have been downed in the distance on ridge to the north of this

location.


Thanks to Madison County EMA and local residents for their

assistance this weekend with the survey.


&&


EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the

following categories:


EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph

EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph

EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph

EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph

EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph

EF5...Violent...>200 mph


NOTE:

The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to

change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS

Storm Data.


$$


Amin/Boyd


000

NOUS44 KHUN 191935

PNSHUN

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-200745-


Public Information Statement

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

235 PM CDT Wed Jul 19 2023



...NWS Damage Survey for 07/18/23 Tornado Event...


.MONROVIA ALABAMA...


Rating:                 EF-0

Estimated Peak Wind:    80 mph

Path Length /statute/:  2.4 miles

Path Width /maximum/:   100 yards

Fatalities:             0

Injuries:               0


Start Date:             July 18, 2023

Start Time:             5:14 PM CDT

Start Location:         4 SE Harvest, Madison County, AL

Start Lat/Lon:          34.81/-86.71


End Date:               July 18, 2023

End Time:               5:18 PM CDT

End Location:           6 SE Harvest, Madison County, AL

End Lat/Lon:            34.79/-86.68


NWS and Madison County EMA survey team determined that minor damage

concentrated near Monrovia, AL was associated with an EF-0 tornado with

winds of approximately 80 mph. The small tornado likely formed quickly

along the leading edge of a Mesoscale Convective Complex and touched down

near the intersection of Jeff Rd and Kelly Spring Rd in Northern Madison

County. Large branches and sections of hard and soft wood trees were downed

a neighborhood east of Jeff Rd. The tornado, which likely was not fully

descended to the ground, continued southeast and caused more tree damage

near the Matt Phillips Rd and Douglass Rd intersection. As the tornado

approached the Indian Creek and Blake Bottom Rd intersection, several trees

were damaged or uprooted along with roof damage to structures off Stoney

Ln. The tornado likely lifted along Blake Bottom Rd. It should be noted

that this tornado occurred in a rather big wind field associated with the

MCS, with straight-line winds of similar magnitude. This highlights the

need to take shelter during Severe Thunderstorm Warnings as straight line

winds can easily be similar magnitude as low-end tornadic winds.



&&


EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the

following categories:


EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph

EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph

EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph

EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph

EF4...Violent...166 to 200 mph

EF5...Violent...>200 mph


NOTE:

The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to

change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS

Storm Data.


$$


Barron/RAD


Saturday, July 22, 2023

Sunny and Mild Week Ahead

(Forecast)

Sunday (High 85, Low 62): Sunny. Mild with low humidity.

Monday (High 88, Low 64): Sunny. Mild with low humidity.

Tuesday (High 90, Low 66): Mostly sunny. Warm but with humidity levels staying low.

(Extended Outlook)

Wednesday (High 94, Low 68): Mostly sunny.

Thursday (High 93, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Friday (High 92, Low 71): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Saturday (High 93, Low 72): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

(Beach Forecast)

Sunday (High 87, Low 75): Thunderstorms.

Monday (High 92, Low 74): Partly cloudy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible.

Tuesday (High 92, Low 75): Partly to mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms possible.

Wednesday through Saturday (Highs in lower 90's, Lows in mid-70's): Partly cloudy with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. 

(Pronóstico)

Domingo (Alta 85, Baja 62): Soleado. Templado con poca humedad.

Lunes (Alta 88, Baja 64): Soleado. Templado con poca humedad.

Martes (Alta 90, Baja 66): Mayormente soleado. Cálido pero con niveles de humedad bajos.

(Perspectiva extendida)

Miércoles (Alta 94, Baja 68): Mayormente soleado.

Jueves (Alta 93, Baja 70): Parcialmente nublado con un 20% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Viernes (Alta 92, Baja 71): Parcialmente nublado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

Sábado (Alta 93, Baja 72): Parcialmente nublado con un 20% de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas eléctricas.

(Pronóstico de la playa)

Domingo (Alta 87, Baja 75): Tormentas eléctricas.

Lunes (Alta 92, Baja 74): Parcialmente nublado con posibles lluvias dispersas y tormentas eléctricas.

Martes (Alta 92, Baja 75): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado con posibles lluvias aisladas y tormentas eléctricas.

Miércoles a Sábado (Máximas en los 90 inferiores, Mínimas a mediados de los 70): Parcialmente nublado con lluvias dispersas y posibles tormentas eléctricas.

Friday, July 21, 2023

Clearing With Mild Temperatures and Low Humidity

Saturday (High 83, Low 67): Isolated lingering showers possible in the morning. Then clearing, becoming mostly sunny, with mild temperatures and low humidity. 

Sunday (High 86, Low 63): Sunny. Mild with low humidity.

Monday (High 89, Low 65): Sunny. Warm with low humidity.

Tuesday (High 91, Low 67): Mostly sunny.

Wednesday (High 92, Low 69): Mostly sunny.

Thursday (High 91, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Friday (High 92, Low 71): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Flood Warning

 Flood Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

641 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2023


ALC043-220015-

/O.NEW.KHUN.FA.W.0031.230721T2341Z-230722T0015Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

Cullman AL-

641 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2023


...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

...REPLACES FLASH FLOOD WARNING...


* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.


* WHERE...A portion of north central Alabama, including the

  following county, Cullman.


* WHEN...Until 715 PM CDT.


* IMPACTS...Flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying

  and flood-prone locations is imminent or occurring.


* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - At 633 PM CDT, Flooding is ongoing or expected to begin

    shortly across parts of Cullman County. Between 1 and 2

    inches of rain have fallen over parts of Cullman County.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...

    Cullman, Hanceville, Good Hope, Holly Pond, Dodge City,

    Baldwin, Vinemont, Baileyton, West Point, Garden City,

    Colony, Phelan, Logan, Bremen, Black Bottom, Walter, Smith

    Lake, Crane Hill, Jones Chapel and Arkadelphia.

  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3419 8711 3431 8688 3430 8648 3412 8660

      3409 8669 3405 8668 3406 8670 3395 8679

      3393 8689 3391 8692 3387 8692 3387 8696

      3386 8696 3389 8701 3390 8710 3390 8709

      3391 8708 3396 8712



$$


09

Flood Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

206 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2023


ALC089-220100-

/O.NEW.KHUN.FA.W.0030.230721T1906Z-230722T0100Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

Madison AL-

206 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2023


...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...


* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is ongoing


* WHERE...A portion of north central Alabama, including the

  following county, Madison.


* WHEN...Until 800 PM CDT.


* IMPACTS...Expect many areas of slow moving or standing water. It

  will take several hours for all the water from these storms to

  work through local drainage systems in urban areas.


* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

  - At 206 PM CDT, gauge reports indicated heavy rain due to

    previous thunderstorms in the area. Flooding is ongoing or

    expected to begin shortly in the warned area. Between 5 and 7

    inches of rain have fallen.

  - Some locations that will experience flooding include...

    Northwestern Huntsville, Madison, Redstone Arsenal, Triana,

    Marshall Space Flight Center and Harvest.

  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood

deaths occur in vehicles.


&&


LAT...LON 3458 8673 3486 8674 3485 8667 3457 8667

      3458 8668 3459 8669 3459 8670 3459 8671

      3459 8672 3458 8672



$$


30

Severe T-Storm Watch


 Details soon - does include Cullman County. 

2:36 - I don't know why this is, but the Storm Prediction Center site is not showing this latest watch yet. It is on Twitter, while Daryl Herzmann's IEM accounts are not anymore. I'm seeing if I can use his direct website to keep up with stuff in a less convenient way. We take things and folks who set them up for granted sometimes, and he really has done the meteorological community a great service by maintaining that. And he kept it on social media as long as some goofball didn't foul it up. Who would have thought the inventor of Tesla cars could wreak havoc in the world of meteorology, just because he had his head too far up his own keister? I say stuff like that because I'm not popular and beloved to begin with. I have a total of four followers on social media. And all sarcasm aside, I do appreciate each of them. 


Anyway to get to the important part, we've got scattered showers and thunderstorms forming in the heat and humidity as this cold front sags southward. It is actually expected to move through the region, even though this is July, been a sort of weird summer, and some of the storms may reach severe limits today and tonight around here. The really organized storms that are producing damaging winds right now are back in Southwest Tennessee and Northern Mississippi. But we have other activity forming ahead of it. So this watch is just to let everyone in North Alabama and Southern Middle Tennessee know that through about 9 PM tonight, there is a risk for some of these thunderstorms producing strong winds that could do damage, perhaps even reaching hurricane force in some cases. And we could also have some large hail, unfortunately could also be more significant than usual, they are estimating that golfball size will be possible. 

So if you live in a mobile home, you might consider spending this evening with a friend who has a sturdier house, especially if you've got trees around. Try not to get caught driving through any severe thunderstorms. We already had some flooding in Huntsville and Harvest earlier this morning, talk about rough driving conditions. So don't cross any water covering the road, of course. 

But seriously, it would be wise to pay attention if you get a Severe Thunderstorm Warning this afternoon or evening. At least stay inside, away from windows, away from anything electrical. But if you really want to be safe, I'd get into something like a hallway on the lowest floor. And as I say, it's better if you can be in a site-built home anchored to the ground, rather than a mobile home. You don't have to go full tornado-level shelter today necessarily, but since we do have some risk of at least isolated instances of winds that could get up to hurricane force, combined with a risk of hail that could get to golfball size, I'm not going to discourage anyone who wants to play it safe and take any extra precautions. That's probably the smart thing to do. I'm just saying for average people, this doesn't have to be a total drag where it shoots the whole day. 

Will probably post radar updates here roughly every hour depending on how things trend. 

3:13 PM - Well the Storm Prediction Center still hasn't posted the actual text of this watch, so I'm giving up on that and just going to post radar updates or warnings as needed. 



The severe thunderstorms with a history of producing wind damage (hail is actually under severe limits for now in these storms) are getting ready to move into Wayne County, Tennessee within the next 30 minutes. Already producing damaging winds in McNairy County just West of there. And we've got issues in Northern Mississippi as well. Those storms should maintain strength as they move into Alabama over about the next hour. Given the time of day, they may even intensify somewhat. 

3:19 - Saw on Twitter that the North Carolina tornado from a day or two ago was rated an F-3, the first time that's ever happened there in July. That storm made history, injured 16 people, and two of those injuries were life-threatening. When it gets to that level of wind, that's when you really start to need a basement if you can get to one, or a storm shelter. Because with the poor construction practices we've got in even very tornado-prone places (like here), sometimes, a tornado that strong can blow the whole house up. It does not take a rare F-5, or E/F-5. But you don't really expect that in July anyway. Crazy weather this summer. 

3:25 - People in places like Muscle Shoals or Hamilton also want to be monitoring these storms in Mississippi and getting ready to get to a safe-enough place before they move in. 



The storms in Alabama as of right now are staying under severe limits, the only thing to watch is the lightning, stay inside if you can hear thunder, common sense. 

3:33 - And you know what . . . we've got Rock the South going on in Cullman. Some people may be travelling to it as we speak. So here is a look at the storms moving through the county. These are not severe at this point, but they are still producing a good bit of rain and a good bit of lightning. So people need to be cautious about that. 



3:37 - A Severe Thunderstorm Warning has come out for Wayne County, Tennessee. 

Estimating 60 mph wind gusts and quarter sized hail with these storms. So far we're not seeing those extra-damaging winds or hail, but from past experience this very summer, we know things can escalate quickly. Any of the warnings are worth paying attention to and at least staying inside, away from windows. 

3:43 - I had totally forgotten about that Rock the South festival until I heard some noise last night that sounded like a concert in town. The timing is unfortunate for these storms, but you know, sometimes it happens. 

Tomorrow night looks great. I think Jo Dee Messina and Chris Stapleton are the headliners then. 



3:49 - I'd have already gotten back in my car if I was down there. 

Or maybe they have a place people can get inside. Though I kind of doubt that on a farm . . . really wide open land. I only saw the show one year when they were still at the park. 

3:54 - Okay now a severe thunderstorm warning for Southern Colbert, Franklin, and Western Lawrence Counties for potential of 60 mile per hour wind gusts, maybe a little hail but not severe hail. 

This includes communities like Russellville, Red Bay, over to Phil Campbell, and clips places like Town Creek and Moulton. Anywhere within that polygon, I'd get to a good safe place and stay there until the storms pass. 



3:57 - And we actually do have a Special Weather Statement for the storms moving through Cullman right now. These winds are just under severe limits and may affect other places like Eva, Arab, Guntersville, down to Albertville or even Boaz. 



4:01 PM - And here is the broad view. Not all of these storms are becoming severe. The lightning sure is fierce in some of the sub-severe ones though, especially where a music festival is going on unfortunately. 

4:03 - If there is a silver lining for Cullman, it is that with this much rain-cooled air, and then the dark hours falling, plus the atmosphere kind of worked over by all the lightning, the risk of any storms becoming severe later tonight may be lessened quite a bit. Never say never, but hopefully this is the worst the concertgoers will have to deal with. 

Though there will likely be more rain at least, if not more storms later. Since we didn't get a hailstorm out of this, yeah, those other storms will probably produce a decent amount of lightning later. I'm just thinking the rain-cooling right now could help them out from any problems with severe level winds later, which really would be more of a problem to deal with at a big outdoor concert like that. With lightning they can just send people inside somewhere, even back to their cars. They did that in the park one year. 

And like James Spann shared on the tweeter, it looks like they are being smart and doing a weather delay. Maybe people were mostly traveling to the event and not out in the open concert grounds yet. I really have not kept up with the schedule, had a rough month, where going to a concert never crossed my mind as a remote possibility. I did hear Alabama from a distance last year, and they were incredible.


 

4:14 - And now a Flash Flood Warning has been issued for most of Cullman County. This really is a dangerous situation for anyone driving to that concert, more than with a strong storm. If you know anybody going there, please remind them not to try to cross any flooded roadways. The concert organizers will have to deal with this the best they can. Just . . . safety first with this one. 

But really all the way down to Hanceville, Colony, and Bremen, this is a serious threat. And up to Vinemont, Holly Pond, and Baileyton. It is not limited to the city of Cullman where the concert is going on. 


4:31 - And it looks like that is what this event is turning into for the moment, besides that one storm near Amory, Mississippi that is showing signs of severe winds and maybe marginally severe hail. All the other warnings are gone except that flash flood warning in the place that needs it the least, Cullman County. Or I guess Huntsville/Madison County would be a tie, since they had flooding already this morning. But still, you don't want to see flooding issues and a lot of lightning when people are driving to or from a big outdoor concert. Looks like the organizers have been paying attention to the weather and being really smart about it, from what I saw so far. 




4:35 - Ok now as these storms are moving into Blount County, they are showing signs of becoming severe. Either they've strengthened, or the Birmingham office thought they looked more threatening than the Huntsville office did. But this affects places like Snead, down to Oneonta, actually all the way down to places like Warrior and Morris in Northern Jefferson County, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. 

Still got the Flash Flood Warning for Cullman County. And that is a dangerous situation when you've got people trying to drive to a concert, definitely need to be careful. 




4:39 - And actually after a second look, that Severe T-Storm Warning does clip Etowah and St. Clair Counties too. 

Severe T-Storm Watch still in effect areawide until 9 PM. 

Taking the wide view, plenty of storms still in Tennessee. Directions of these storms can change sometimes, and if some move more Southeast or Southward, then folks in Alabama will of course get them downstream. And the trend right now is for these storms to drift Southeast at about 20-30 mph. 


4:45 - Looking at the wide view, putting the radar into motion, looks like the Rock the South festival in Cullman will likely deal with more rain after this batch of thunderstorms it's already dealt with. How much thunder and lightning, not sure, but the temperature has dropped down to 73, same dewpoint, so the risk of any severe thunderstorms is low after this batch of storms really worked the atmosphere over. Looks like the threats for concertgoers are mainly the flash flooding that is likely to be a hazard countywide, and maybe some more lightning with the other showers/thunderstorms behind this batch. 




4:54 - So I notice now that some of those storms entering Northeast Alabama from Tennessee, those are storms doing what I was suspecting might happen, starting to move more due South, even while other storms continue with more of a West to East, or Northwest to Southeast motion. 

And here is the weather radio going off again for something. 

Ok this is just a new Severe Thunderstorm Watch that covers Central Alabama, counties like Walker, Winston, and so on, goes until Midnight. Basically an extension of this watch further North. 

Those storms moving southward from Tennessee into mainly Northeast Alabama are strong thunderstorms, but for now, they have remained below severe limits. To be severe, a thunderstorm has to show signs of producing winds of at least 50 knots (58 mph) or hail an inch in diameter (quarter sized). That's when a thunderstorm is thought to become a significant threat to life and property. 




5 PM - Here is the graphic for that new Severe Thunderstorm Watch. But please note that the earlier Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect for Northern Alabama and Southern Middle Tennessee until 9 PM. But the threat has spread into Central Alabama now, enough to require a new watch, sort of like extending the area and updating the time stamp - new watch goes until Midnight. 

And I notice they are not expecting really large hail now, seeing how the storms performed earlier, but still, quarter-sized hail is considered severe. And the winds gusts will probably be more in the 60-70 mile per hour range after all. So today could have been a lot worse. 

Though I do feel for the folks in Huntsville and other parts of Madison County who dealt with flooding issues this morning and the people trying to get to that concert with all this mess going on where the heaviest rain and lightning really zeroed in on Cullman and Cullman County there for a while. They definitely won't be complaining that the forecast mentioning possibility of strong storms was a bust . . . have heard of no injuries so far, so can always count that as a silver lining for the time being. 
5:06 - Doesn't look like the folks at the farm are letting the weather bother them a bit. I was just thinking of it from a big picture, public safety standpoint, especially from the flooding. But it looks like on the actual concert grounds, people just see a chance to play in the mud.

 


5:13 - Okay, now we have a new Flash Flood Warning, for Limestone and Madison Counties, mainly from places like Athens and Elkmont over to Harvest and the Northern part of the city of Huntsville, on up to the Tennessee state line there in Madison County. And these folks do not need it. The flooding could become very dangerous there - okay? There's that potential, I feel I should go ahead and mention. They already had flooding this morning. And this is just not a great situation. Please encourage anyone you know in these areas to play it safe, and if possible, stay off the roads. It's easier to flood urban areas than out in the country, and this does include at least the North part of Huntsville. So this could be serious business for some people. 




5:21 - And I'm going to pass along this Special Weather Statement too, which is for Southern Madison County, also includes city of Huntsville, extends into Southern Jackson and Northern Marshall Counties. They are expecting wind gusts up to 55 miles per hour with this, and that is just riding the line of what is considered severe winds. If it gusts to 58, it's considered severe. So I'm passing this along anyway even though it is not a Warning, and there is no outdoor concert up that way. It still strikes me as a dangerous situation, because trees can still be damaged or even uprooted by those winds sometimes. It is a close enough call. And with flash flooding already having been an issue earlier today in this same general area, it will be a lot easier for some trees to come down. And the rain will be heavy with these storms, actually prompted that new Flood Warning I just passed on that is for the Northern part of town, Huntsville. 

So anywhere in Huntsville, you've got some rough stuff moving through right about now. 




5:25 - And it looks like somebody had an afterthought, went ahead and upgraded it to a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. 

Sometimes it really is a close call, and good forecasters do not like to overwarn, but they also want to make sure if there's a significant danger, they don't miss it. Always trying to strike that balance. And I definitely agree with the call to upgrade this one. 




5:30 - Panning out for the bigger picture again, our main areas of concern are: Cullman County with flooding issues (with an outdoor concert going on, that draws a big crowd every year, please advise your loved ones to be careful about this, or of course if you are going yourself, use good sense, have at least one sober person . . . which you should really have anyway, but especially when it's flooding), Limeston and Madison County with flooding issues that include the city of Huntsville - and also potential for damaging winds that includes Huntsville and points South in Madison County, stretching into Southern Jackson and Northern Marshall Counties. And then sort of out of our area, more into Central Alabama, they also have damaging wind potential with severe thunderstorms down around places like Talladega and Anniston, Jacksonville, Gadsden may still be dealing with the storms moving out of there down toward these other areas. 

And we are all under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 9 PM - unless you are more into Central Alabama, and the watch goes until Midnight for you. 

This has been an active afternoon and evening around here. We could have further issues, at least with flooding, maybe with some damaging winds too, even in places that have already seen rain and storms. The flooding threat is the more likely, but don't get complacent about the damaging wind threat, especially if your home is surrounded by trees. With all this rainfall in the soil, it won't take as much for trees to come down. 

At least stay inside and away from windows. But if you can be in a site-built home rather than a mobile home, then if you are under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning this evening, you might consider moving to the lowest floor and sort of move toward a smaller space like a hallway, so that on the chance a tree were to fall, or something were to break a window, you would have a much better chance of coming out of it without any injury. 




5:37 - Okay, the National Weather Service in Huntsville is pushing the severity of this storm in Southern Madison County and noting that in addition to the damaging winds, there is enough rotation showing up on radar that a tornado could develop as well. And remember we did have a tornado in Monrovia the other day, during this wacky wild summer. So I would advise getting to a small central room (like a bathroom, closet or hallway) on the lowest floor of your home, well away from any windows, just to be on the safe side. If you have time to get out of a mobile home and over to a friend's sturdier house, then I would do that before these storms get to you. 




5:41 - Taking the broad view again. And the weather radio is going off again . . . hmmmmmmm . . . but . . . ok Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Southeast Walker County, also affects parts of Tuscaloosa and Jefferson Counties. 

Anyway before we get to that new one, will note that the rotation in these storms moving into Jackson County now is awfully broad compared to what you'd look for with a tornado usually. But it is some fierce winds either way. And I'd advise anyone reading to take the best precautions that are reasonably within your means. Get as low in your home as you can and as near the center. And if you have time to get out of a mobile home and into a friend's sturdier house, that is probably a good idea. Don't get in a panic over this and drive through any flooded roads though, or where the wind would blow you all over the road. Just take a deep breath and do the most sensible thing that is within your means in your current situation, and you should be fine. 

Even when we had that tornado in Monrovia recently, nobody got hurt. So it's nothing to get too freaked out over, but just use good sense and take what precautions you can. I know this situation is kind of difficult with a lot of hazards going on in some of the same counties all at one time. It is a lot to keep up with. But just take sensible precautions until the storms pass. 


5:48 - And here we finally see that wide view again. The only severe thunderstorm warning left in North Alabama is that part of the storms moving out of Southern Madison County into Jackson County. Flash Flood Warnings remain in effect for Cullman, Limestone, and Madison Counties. This does include Athens, Northern Huntsville, and the city of Cullman. Actually in Cullman it is basically the whole county at risk for flooding issues. 


5:52 - That warning that includes Walker County only includes the far Southern part. I did notice Gorgas Steam Plant was mentioned in the text of the warning. 




5:54 - Here is a better visual aid to what we've got going on. It's been a busy evening. 

The flood warnings are green on Radarscope, a sort of maroon color on the NWS graphics like the one above. Of course the orange or yellow are the severe thunderstorm warnings. 




5:58 - That warning that includes Scottsboro goes for about another 30 minutes, until 6:30 PM CDT.

Anywhere within that polygon, in or near those communities you see on the map above, I'd stay in a safe place until the storms pass and/or the warning expires. Winds could gust to 60 or even 70 mph here. At least stay inside and away from windows, also want to avoid anything electrical. When a lot of lightning was coming through my area earlier, even though the storms were not severe at that point, I ran my laptop and phone on battery power. To be on the safe side. When things get rowdy on days like this, I'd rather not fool around. 

6:05 PM - Looks like a gas station in Athens got damaged, with power out. 




6:07 - Still some rotation showing up at times with the storm now moving through Scottsboro. It is weak rotation, but still, please respect the potential for damaging winds that can at least knock down trees this evening. If in the path, stay in a safe shelter, the best you've got at hand. 

6:11 - Gadsden appears to have had some minor structural damage from the storms earlier. Crazy evening. I hope my forecast last night gave people some idea that this was coming. If so I didn't believe my own words enough, because I really did not expect it to get this organized for so many different spots on the map, at least not this early in the day, expected the more organized rain and storms to come in at night, or at least right about now. But some of it started in the early to mid afternoon instead. 




6:13 - This event is winding down overall though. The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been cancelled for Wayne, Lawrence, and Giles Counties in Tennessee; remains in effect for Lincoln, Moore, and Franklin there. On the Alabama side, Lauderdale, Colbert Franklin, Lawrence, Winston, Marion, and Lamar Counties have been cleared from the Watch. It continues in Alabama for all other counties in North and Central Alabama. 

And they are finally letting that Rock the South concert start at 6:30. That information is from WAFF-48 in Huntsville. 




6:20 - As the storms move into Dekalb County, affecting places like Rainsville and Fort Payne, they are expected to have strong winds and maybe small hail, but under severe limits now. 




6:22 - No more severe thunderstorm warnings in North Alabama or up into Tennessee now, all that activity is now along and South of Birmingham. 

We do have flash flood warnings still in effect for Cullman County and for Limestone and Madison Counties. This does include the city of Cullman and basically the whole county there. And it includes Athens and the Northern part of Huntsville, on up to the Tennessee state line. 

6:49 - They replaced the Flash Flood Warning for Cullman County with a Flood Warning more concerned with rivers and other bodies of water remaining affected the flood waters earlier. So I posted that separately. 


6:51 - Overall this event has wound down for North Alabama and certainly for Tennessee. I think they are keeping the Watch in effect in case of any last minute surprises before the storms finish exiting the state. I've seen that happen a lot, where people were complaining why the watch was not cancelled, and then one rogue storm would really fire up just when we were ready to call it a day. 

6:54 - And the Watch is cancelled for North Alabama and any remaining Tennessee counties. 

So coverage is over. 

7:42 PM - Spoke too soon about no injuries. Saw where one person was injured today when a tree fell on a car near Memphis. Also saw a video of a woman who got debris from a church roof in Gadsden blown at her car's windshield. That's why all people involved in weather, not just this blogger here, encourage people not to get caught in a vehicle during even a minor round of severe weather, if you can do anything about it. 

Posted a forecast. Weather looks great tomorrow, after a little rain might hang around in the morning, through most of next week, maybe all of next week. Even when the temperatures climb back into 90's toward the weekend, the humidity is still going to be lower than it's been lately. It doesn't get much better than this for late July, put it that way. 

7:47 - One more note: I was feeling pretty good about this blog today, since I got more views in one day than I usually do in a month. I figured people were checking on the Rock the South concert. But unfortunately when I went looking at stats in more detail, that big spike in visits to the site appeared to all have come from Israel. How anybody over there found this blog, I have no idea. I'm almost hoping that was somebody with a VPN who decided to read my stuff obsessively, because I don't want to attract the attention of some nut who took something I said out of context. Hear ye, hear ye . . . I don't do the weather for Israel. And even my most opinionated posts are meant to be taken with a sense of humor. God bless ya'. 

Thursday, July 20, 2023

A Few Showers and Storms Tomorrow Into Early Saturday, Then Sunshine and Mild Temperatures Next Week

(Forecast)

Friday (High 89, Low 73): Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible during the day - a few could be strong, or even reach severe limits, with potential for damaging winds and some hail. Rain will become likely at night, and a few thunderstorms are still possible in the mix. 

Saturday (High 83, Low 69): Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are still possible, mainly in the morning. Overall a clearing trend throughout the day, becoming partly to mostly sunny with milder, drier air.

Sunday (High 86, Low 62): Sunny. Mild temperatures and low humidity levels. 

(Extended Outlook)

Monday (High 90, Low 64): Sunny.

Tuesday (High 92, Low 67): Mostly sunny.

Wednesday (High 93, Low 69): Mostly sunny.

Thursday (High 92, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

(Tea Leaves Territory)

Friday (High 93, Low 71): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Saturday (High 92, Low 72): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Sunday (High 91, Low 71): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Hot Tomorrow, Then Some Rain Chances, Then a Calm and Mild Next Week

Tonight (Low 74): Partly cloudy. Somewhat muggy.

Tomorrow (High 97): Mostly sunny. Very hot and humid.

Friday (High 93, Low 73): Partly cloudy, hot and humid, with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Rain may become more numerous at night.

Saturday (High 83, Low 69): Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms still possible, mainly in the morning. Becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon and turning mild.

Sunday (High 86, Low 62): Sunny.

Monday (High 88, Low 63): Sunny.

Tuesday (High 90, Low 65): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Wednesday (High 89, Low 67): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Saturday, July 8, 2023

Organized Thunderstorms Possible Tomorrow, Then We Have a Brief Dry Spell With Low Humidity

(Forecast)

Sunday (High 85, Low 68): Partly to mostly cloudy. Numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible, and a few storms could be strong, with potential for damaging winds. 

Monday (High 86, Low 66): Isolated lingering rain possible in the morning. Then becoming mostly sunny.

Tuesday (High 89, Low 64): Sunny. Seasonably hot but with low humidity levels. 

(Extended Outlook)

Wednesday (High 90, Low 65): Partly to mostly sunny with a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm. 

Thursday (High 91, Low 69): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Friday (High 92, Low 71): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Saturday (High 91, Low 71): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

(Beach Forecast)

Sunday (High 89, Low 79): Showers and thunderstorms likely. Windy at times. 

Monday (High 87, Low 78): Showers and thunderstorms likely. Windy at times. 

Tuesday (High 88, Low 77): Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are possible at times. 

Wednesday/Thursday (High 88-89, Low 78-80): Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Friday/Saturday (High ~90, Low ~80): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Thursday, July 6, 2023

Pretty Typical Summer Pattern Continues, Rain Chances Increase Some This Weekend

(Forecast)

Friday (High 89, Low 72): Partly cloudy. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Saturday (High 88, Low 70): Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered thunderstorms are possible. 

Sunday (High 86, Low 69): Partly to mostly cloudy. Numerous rounds of thunderstorms are possible, and some could be strong. 

(Extended Outlook)

Monday (High 87, Low 68): Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Tuesday (High 88, Low 66): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Wednesday (High 89, Low 67): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Thursday (High 90, Low 69): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

(Tea Leaves Territory)

Friday July 14th (High 91, Low 69): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Saturday July 15th (High 90, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Sunday July 16th (High 89, Low 72): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

(Beach Forecast)

Friday (High 91, Low 74): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Saturday (High 91, Low 77): Partly cloudy, hot and humid. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Sunday (High 91, Low 79): Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy. Numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Wednesday, July 5, 2023

More Typical Summer Pattern Going On, Rain Chances a Little Higher Over Weekend

Thursday (High 90, Low 70): Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Friday (High 89, Low 71): Partly cloudy. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Saturday (High 88, Low 72): Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Sunday (High 87, Low 71): Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Monday (High 87, Low 69): Partly to mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Tuesday (High 88, Low 68): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Wednesday (High 89, Low 66): Partly to mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Saturday, July 1, 2023

A Hot One Again Tomorrow, Then More Typical Summer Pattern Rest of Week

(Forecast)

Sunday (High 94, Low 73): Partly cloudy, hot and humid. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

Monday (High 91, Low 70): Partly cloudy. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Independence Day (High 89, Low 70): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible. 

(Extended Outlook)

Wednesday (High 88, Low 69): Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Thursday (High 89, Low 68): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

Friday (High 90, Low 69): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Saturday (High 90, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms. 

(Beach Forecast)

Sunday (High 93, Low 78): Mostly sunny, hot and humid. An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible.

Monday (High 91, Low 76): Partly cloudy. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Independence Day (High 91, Low 77): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.

Severe T-Storm Warning


 

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

ALC043-103-012030-

/O.NEW.KHUN.SV.W.0143.230701T1949Z-230701T2030Z/


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

Issued by National Weather Service Jackson MS

249 PM CDT Sat Jul 1 2023


The National Weather Service in Huntsville Alabama has issued a


* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...

  Cullman County in north central Alabama...

  Southwestern Morgan County in north central Alabama...


* Until 330 PM CDT.


* At 248 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles east of

  Nesmith, or 9 miles west of Cullman, moving east at 15 mph.


  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.


  SOURCE...Radar indicated.


  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.


* Locations impacted include...

  Cullman, Hanceville, Good Hope, Falkville, Dodge City, Baldwin,

  Vinemont, West Point, Eva and Garden City.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a

building.


&&


LAT...LON 3399 8712 3400 8711 3437 8711 3436 8671

      3409 8666 3408 8669 3409 8669 3408 8670

      3406 8669 3406 8670 3404 8670 3401 8674

      3400 8674 3399 8676 3398 8677 3397 8677

      3395 8679 3396 8682 3394 8682

TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 283DEG 14KT 3414 8699


HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN

WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED

MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH


$$


86/JAN

Severe Thunderstorm Watch



 

SEL8


   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 428

   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

   1225 PM CDT Sat Jul 1 2023


   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a


   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 

     Northern Alabama

     Northwest Georgia

     Far southwest North Carolina

     Middle to southeast Tennessee


   * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM

     until 800 PM CDT.


   * Primary threats include...

     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible


   SUMMARY...Slow-moving multicell clusters should spread

   east-southeast this afternoon with a primary threat of scattered

   damaging winds.


   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70

   statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles north

   northwest of Muscle Shoals AL to 65 miles east northeast of

   Chattanooga TN. For a complete depiction of the watch see the

   associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).


   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are

   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.

   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening

   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible

   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce

   tornadoes.


   &&


   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 427...


   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to

   1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A

   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector

   29020.


   ...Grams

 WOUS64 KWNS 011719

   WOU8


   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 428

   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

   1225 PM CDT SAT JUL 1 2023


   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 428 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT

   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS


   ALC009-019-033-043-049-055-059-071-077-079-083-089-095-103-

   020100-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0428.230701T1725Z-230702T0100Z/


   AL 

   .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


   BLOUNT               CHEROKEE            COLBERT             

   CULLMAN              DEKALB              ETOWAH              

   FRANKLIN             JACKSON             LAUDERDALE          

   LAWRENCE             LIMESTONE           MADISON             

   MARSHALL             MORGAN              



   GAC047-055-083-111-115-123-129-213-281-291-295-313-020100-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0428.230701T1725Z-230702T0100Z/


   GA 

   .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


   CATOOSA              CHATTOOGA           DADE                

   FANNIN               FLOYD               GILMER              

   GORDON               MURRAY              TOWNS               

   UNION                WALKER              WHITFIELD           



   NCC039-043-020100-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0428.230701T1725Z-230702T0100Z/


   NC 

   .    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


   CHEROKEE             CLAY                



   TNC003-007-011-015-021-031-035-037-041-043-051-055-061-065-081-

   083-085-087-099-101-103-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-135-

   139-141-143-147-149-153-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-185-187-189-

   020100-

   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0428.230701T1725Z-230702T0100Z/


   TN 

   .    TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE


   BEDFORD              BLEDSOE             BRADLEY             

   CANNON               CHEATHAM            COFFEE              

   CUMBERLAND           DAVIDSON            DE KALB             

   DICKSON              FRANKLIN            GILES               

   GRUNDY               HAMILTON            HICKMAN             

   HOUSTON              HUMPHREYS           JACKSON             

   LAWRENCE             LEWIS               LINCOLN             

   MACON                MARION              MARSHALL            

   MAURY                MCMINN              MEIGS               

   MONROE               MONTGOMERY          MOORE               

   PERRY                POLK                PUTNAM              

   RHEA                 ROBERTSON           RUTHERFORD          

   SEQUATCHIE           SMITH               STEWART             

   SUMNER               TROUSDALE           VAN BUREN           

   WARREN               WAYNE               WHITE               

   WILLIAMSON           WILSON              



   ATTN...WFO...BMX...OHX...MRX...HUN...FFC...


Staying Mostly Sunny and Warm, Rain Pretty Scarce Through Next Week

FORECAST: Friday (High 81, Low 59): Partly to mostly sunny. Warm and breezy. Saturday (High 82, Low 61): Mostly sunny. Warm and breezy.  Sun...