FORECAST:
Friday (High 87, Low 66): Mostly sunny. Warm and somewhat humid.
Saturday (High 90, Low 68): Sunny. Hot and humid.
Sunday (High 92, Low 70): Sunny. Hot and humid.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
Monday (High 93, Low 72): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Tuesday (High 92, Low 72): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Wednesday (High 93, Low 71): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Thursday (High 92, Low 71): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
READING TEA LEAVES:
Friday June 27 (High 90, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Saturday June 28 (High 88, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Sunday June 29 (High 89, Low 69): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
BEACH FORECAST:
Friday (High 90, Low 79): Partly to mostly cloudy. Numerous off-and-on showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Saturday (High 89, Low 79): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Sunday (High 89, Low 80): Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible.
Next Week (Highs ~90, Lows ~80): Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
PRONÓSTICO:
Viernes (Máxima: 87, Mínima: 66): Mayormente soleado. Cálido y algo húmedo.
Sábado (Máxima: 90, Mínima: 68): Soleado. Caluroso y húmedo.
Domingo (Máxima: 92, Mínima: 70): Soleado. Caluroso y húmedo.
PERSPECTIVA EXTENDIDA:
Lunes (Máxima: 93, Mínima: 72): Mayormente soleado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas.
Martes (Máxima: 92, Mínima: 72): Mayormente soleado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas.
Miércoles (Máxima: 93, Mínima: 71): Mayormente soleado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas.
Jueves (Máxima: 92, Mínima: 71): Mayormente soleado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas.
LEYENDO LAS HOJAS DE TÉ:
Viernes 27 de Junio (Máxima: 90, Mínima: 70): Parcialmente nublado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas.
Sábado 28 de Junio (Máxima: 88, Mínima: 70): Parcialmente nublado con un 30 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas.
Domingo 29 de Junio (Máxima: 89, Mínima: 69): Parcialmente nublado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias/tormentas.
PRONÓSTICO DE LA PLAYA:
Viernes (Máxima: 90, Mínima: 79): Parcialmente nublado. Posibilidad de numerosos chubascos intermitentes.
Sábado (Máxima: 89, Mínima: 79): Parcialmente nublado. Posibilidad de chubascos dispersos.
Domingo (Máxima: 89, Mínima: 80): Parcialmente nublado. Posibilidad de chubascos dispersos.
Semana que Viene (Máximas ~90, Mínimas ~80): Parcialmente nublado con un 40 % de probabilidad de chubascos.
NOTES:
Weatherbrains interviewed Max Velocity recently. People like him and Ryan Hall understand where the future of weather media is going. At least better than most everybody else does.
Kevin Laws from the National Weather Service in Birmingham mentioned on that show that people need to know how to stay safe in rip currents this time of year. And he's right.
Gary England passed away recently. Here is his famous coverage of the May 3, 1999 tornado outbreak in Oklahoma.
As there may be a resolve to recent technical limitations soon, I think this computer can stand a few forecasts, like one or two a week anyway, slow and clunky as it may be.
At 5:15 PM skies are fair in Cullman as (I can hear from a distance) Clay Walker is serenading the city on that farm (at the Rock the South festival) with cover songs like "Sweet Home Alabama" and "Amarillo By Morning" as well as some of his own gems like "Rumor Has it". And I think I might have heard "If I Could Make a Livin' Outta' Lovin' You". So skies are fair. The temperature is 77 degrees, quite comfortable behind all that rain this morning. The dewpoint is 69.8 degrees, which I guess I'll just round up to 70 degrees, because why not? Relative humidity is 79%. Winds are variable at 5 miles per hour. The pressure is 30.08 inches and holding fairly steady now. Our Low temperature this morning was 66, or for the nitpickers among us, 66.2.
About head lice: "Ya' know, that's where we get the phrase . . . NITPICKIN'."
What - you laugh? It IS . . .
The rain has moved to our South, and we are going to have surface High pressure firmly in place for a while. And our weather is about to turn hotter than Sara Evans's legs, which stand out in my memory of the one time I got to go to that Rock the South shindig. Forget Hank Jr. and all those other musicians, that woman could sing and strut her stuff at the same time. I've never seen Kelly Clarkson live, but I did see Sara Evans that one time. Pretty sure she helped start this festival up. She's got her own show now, which is why I think of her in connection with Kelly Clarkson . . . I guess. Even if Kelly is on major TV and Sara is on YouTube. They've got a better face for such things than I do.
And yeah, this has always been sort of a satirical weather blog. Some people seem to think it's a modern-day heresy to publicly comment on a woman's beauty. So I figure I'll sound like a male chauvinist pig to some middle-aged but good-looking ladies who might appreciate a compliment if they ever see it. Nah, but Sara Evans is one of the best country singers ever.
And not that I'd ever look at his legs (I'd rather eat sauerkraut . . . and I don't know how the rest of you stand that God-awful stuff), but Clay Walker is another underrated artist. It's sort of an honor to hear him from a mile away or however far it is. Like I heard Alabama a year or two ago, right before their guitar man, Jeff Cook, passed away to the happy hunting grounds, or whatever euphemism I'm supposed to use here. But seriously, he is missed. Sure sounded great that night, even if the fiddle and vocal harmonies sort of stole the show.
Brian Wilson is also missed, saw news of that brilliant (and troubled - always felt for him) musician's death lately. I need to add something about Gary England in the notes section above. I knew I was forgetting something. Everybody in Oklahoma knew him as one of the main weathermen out there. I never knew him personally, was just aware of his work and heard people talk about him sometimes.
Model guidance is less useful in the summer around here, but I guess we'll look at it anyway since it can get some of the basic ideas right, at least the upper-level patterns. Here the GFS shows mainly high pressure in place with scattered rain possible, like you'd expect this time of year.
The NAM keeps the rain more sparse, and I believe it more.
In fact, for tomorrow, I'm estimating the rain of chance to be only about 10% at the most. So just going to forecast mostly sunny conditions and a High near 87, Low of about 66. Not that I'd steal that idea from the National Blend of Models or anything.
Then the GFS shows more moisture Saturday.
The NAM keeps it more limited. Going to stay with mostly sunny skies, not enough rain chance to mention, but we'll warm to about 90-91 degrees, the morning Low about 67-68.
Here we are again on Sunday with the GFS advertising more moisture along with the heat than I think we're really going to see.
While the NAM looks more sensible even at 72 hours out. Keep in mind it is a mesocale model. The global models don't handle out summer moisture/any convection too well.
Going to keep the forecast dry, just hot and fairly humid. Of course any summer day, somebody can technically get a shower or thunderstorm, but the chance is so low here, not worth worrying about. High in about the 90-93 range, Low near 70.
Beyond that, I think we can blanket Monday through Thursday with just Highs in the 90-93 range, Lows of about 70-73. And only bring back a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm each day.
Looking out 10 days can be about like reading tea leaves (and I just had a major falling-out with an old friend over what I thought at first was going to be a trivial, playful argument over whether such things could ever have any validity . . . so it goes . . . and I did have a grandmother who literally read tea leaves along with other things like tarot cards . . . she still asked me about the weather . . . which is a nice memory), but in the summer, I'm more apt to try it. And it looks like by next weekend, the upper-level pattern will relax with more of just a gentle ridge in place to our North instead of a major upper-level High, sort of a "heat bubble".
It looks like then, we'll have Highs in the upper 80's and Lows near 70, might put the rain chance more like 30% for any one spot instead of 20%. But don't expect any major changes any time soon. We are into summer.
The only tropical trouble is Tropical Storm Erick, which is rapidly deteriorating as it moves over the mountainous terrain of Southern and Southwestern Mexico. However, people in and near its path should still be alert for flooding issues and mudslides.
No tropical worries anywhere near us yet in the Southeast U.S. Sometimes it takes until August to have those kinds of problems, other times you have to watch July. It'll likely be an active season, but there's no need to worry about things prematurely. Folks along the Gulf Coast know by now to pay attention and be sensible if and when any issues come up. But not every day or week needs to be full of melodrama about the weather. Why not let summer be peaceful, when it is . . . ?
And I'm not going to put up that buy-me-a-coffee donate button until I'm sure I'm going to have the hardware again to do this on a regular basis, much less step up my game the way I planned on doing this summer before a laptop went down. This new one will have a warranty on it. If this project falls flat, I'll give a refund to the two people who did donate to the cause a month or so ago.
And I'm surprised Clay Walker only gets an hour to sing in such a big festival. He's a good one though, a lot like Sara Evans. I guess there can only be so many headliners. A lot of times the most talented artists are not the ones who close the festivals. That's true in rock music too, which is more my jam these days, even if it's bands where the members are either dead or too old to cut the mustard anymore. Give me Ozzy Osbourne over Blake Shelton and his chew-tobacco-ditties any day, even if the poor man has Parkinson's these days. How many people ever lit up a stage the way he did . . .
Anyway, stay cool, thanks for reading. And if you like to swelter, who am I to judge . . . if you're at that shindig, hey, sometimes good music is worth a sunburn. I'd definitely have gone to see Shenandoah and Nickelback if I could have. They're playing Saturday night.
P.S. Here at 7:25 PM CDT I realize I forgot to include a beach forecast, very important for this time of year. So I will add a forecast for Gulf Shores and thereabouts. It'll be up in the bold-faced section.
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