.png)
Can't help sort of feeling for people in the path of this who were not able to evacuate. This storm has a smaller eyewall than usual but is still as fierce as it was expected to be. Next few hours, it will move inland. And then we'll see how things go.
000
WTNT35 KNHC 300858
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Hurricane Idalia Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023
...IDALIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ARE NEARING THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.1N 84.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM W OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...130 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Hurricane Warning has been issued for the east coast of the
United States from Altamaha Sound Georgia to Edisto Beach South
Carolina.
A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from St. Catherine's Sound to
South Santee River.
A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Edisto Beach South Carolina
to South Santee River South Carolina.
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued from North of Surf City
North Carolina to the North Carolina/Virginia border, and Pamlico
and Albemarle Sounds.
The Tropical Storm Warning for the west coast of Florida from
Bonita Beach southward is discontinued.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Englewood northward to Indian Pass, including Tampa Bay
* St. Catherine's Sound to South Santee River
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Middle of Longboat Key northward to Indian Pass, including Tampa
Bay
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Chokoloskee northward to the Middle of Longboat Key
* West of Indian Pass to Mexico Beach
* Sebastian Inlet Florida to Surf City North Carolina
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Bonita Beach northward to Englewood, including Charlotte Harbour
* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to St. Catherine's Sound Georgia
* Beaufort Inlet to Drum Inlet North Carolina
* Neuse and Pamlico Rivers North Carolina
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Altamaha Sound
* Edisto Beach to South Santee River
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
Additional warnings could be required later today.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Idalia was located
by Tallahassee radar near latitude 29.1 North, longitude 84.1 West.
Idalia is moving toward the north-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h).
A north-northeastward motion is expected through the morning, with
Idalia's center forecast to reach the Big Bend coast of Florida this
morning. After landfall, Idalia is forecast to turn toward the
northeast and east-northeast, moving near or along the coasts of
Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina late today and Thursday.
Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicate that maximum sustained winds
have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts.
Idalia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane
Wind Scale. Idalia could continue to strengthen before it
reaches the Big Bend coast of Florida in a few hours. While
Idalia should weaken after landfall, it is likely to still be a
hurricane while moving across southern Georgia, and near the coast
of Georgia or southern South Carolina late today. Idalia should
emerge off the southeastern United States coast early on Thursday
and move eastward through late week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 940 mb (27.76 inches)
based on aircraft data.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Idalia can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC,
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if
the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Wakulla/Jefferson County, FL to Yankeetown, FL...12-16 ft
Ochlockonee River, FL to Wakulla/Jefferson County, FL...8-12 ft
Yankeetown, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...7-11 ft
Chassahowitzka, FL to Anclote River, FL...6-9 ft
Carrabelle, FL to Ochlockonee River, FL...5-8 ft
Anclote River, FL to Middle of Longboat Key, FL...4-6 ft
Tampa Bay...4-6 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Carrabelle, FL...3-5 ft
Middle of Longboat Key, FL to Englewood, FL...3-5 ft
Saint Catherines Sound, GA to South Santee River, SC...3-5 ft
Englewood, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...2-4 ft
Beaufort Inlet, NC to Ocracoke Inlet, NC...2-4 ft
Mouth of the St. Mary's River to Saint Catherines Sound, GA...2-4 ft
Charlotte Harbor...2-4 ft
Neuse and Bay Rivers...2-4 ft
Pamlico and Pungo Rivers...2-4 ft
Flagler/Volusia County Line, FL to Mouth of the St. Mary's
River...1-3 ft
Mexico Beach, FL to Indian Pass, FL...1-3 ft
Bonita Beach, FL to East Cape Sable, FL...1-3 ft
South Santee River, SC to Beaufort Inlet, NC...1-3 ft
Ocracoke Inlet, NC to Duck, NC...1-3 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the right of the center, where the surge will be accompanied by
large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your
area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane
warning area in Florida soon, with tropical storm conditions
spreading northward and westward through this morning.
Tropical storm conditions will continue within the tropical storm
warning area along the Florida Gulf and west coasts.
Hurricane conditions are expected in the Hurricane Warning area
along the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina later today and
tonight.
Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area along
the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina later today and tonight.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin later today in the
warning area along the east coast of Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina, and spread into North Carolina tonight and Thursday.
RAINFALL: Idalia is expected to produce a swath of 4 to 8 inches of
rainfall with isolated maxima up to 12 inches from the Florida Big
Bend through central Georgia and South Carolina, and through eastern
North Carolina into Thursday. These rainfall amounts will lead to
areas of flash, urban, and moderate river flooding, with
considerable impacts.
SURF: Swells generated by Idalia are affecting the southwestern
coast of Florida and will spread northward and westward to the
north-central Gulf coast through today. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this morning across
west-central and northern Florida into southeast Georgia, with the
tornado risk shifting toward the coastal Carolinas this afternoon
and tonight.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Blake
000
WTNT25 KNHC 300856
TCMAT5
HURRICANE IDALIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 84.1W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE 50SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 135SW 135NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 84.1W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 84.5W
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 31.0N 82.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 10NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 160SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 33.1N 79.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 170SE 50SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 33.8N 76.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 130SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 33.3N 72.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...170NE 80SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 32.4N 70.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 70SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 31.5N 69.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 60SE 80SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 30.7N 68.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 30.5N 66.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 84.1W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 30/1200Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
000
FONT15 KNHC 300856
PWSAT5
HURRICANE IDALIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102023
0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDALIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X 2( 2) 15(17) 4(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 4( 4) 37(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 5( 5) 36(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 16(16) 40(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
SURF CITY NC 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 13(13) 29(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 46(46) 33(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X 5( 5) 26(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FLORENCE SC 34 1 27(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
LITTLE RIVER 34 1 65(66) 14(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X 13(13) 18(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 75(76) 10(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X 24(24) 16(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 1 80(81) 4(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 18(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
CHARLESTON SC 34 2 94(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 69(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X 15(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 12 86(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 1 80(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X 22(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
AUGUSTA GA 34 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAVANNAH GA 34 36 63(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAVANNAH GA 50 1 68(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KINGS BAY GA 50 20 26(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
KINGS BAY GA 64 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
WAYCROSS GA 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 50 80 14(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
WAYCROSS GA 64 12 8(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 96 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 11 8(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
JACKSONVILLE 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 50 14 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
JACKSONVILLE 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 19 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
THE VILLAGES 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
ORLANDO FL 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PATRICK AFB 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
VENICE FL 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
TAMPA FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 65 X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 33 X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST MARKS FL 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
ST MARKS FL 50 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
ST MARKS FL 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
APALACHICOLA 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
270
WTNT45 KNHC 300857
TCDAT5
Hurricane Idalia Discussion Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102023
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023
Idalia continues to undergo rapid intensification. Maximum
flight-level winds were 123 kt, with believable SFMR values of 115
kt. Satellite images show a small eye surrounded by very cold
clouds tops, especially in the western quadrant. The initial wind
speed is set to 115 kt, making Idalia an extremely dangerous
category 4 hurricane.
The hurricane still has a few hours left to intensify before it
makes landfall. The biggest change to the intensity forecast is to
increase the wind speeds over southeastern Georgia and South
Carolina as the rapid motion and track close to the coast is
expected to keep the system near hurricane strength for longer.
Thus a Hurricane Warning has been issued for a portion of those
coasts, and the Hurricane Watch is extended northeastward. After
the hurricane moves offshore, the wind field on the northwestern
side near eastern North Carolina is expected to be enhanced by a
cold front, and the Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a
Tropical Storm Warning in that area. The long-range intensity
forecast is quite uncertain with Idalia taking on some hybrid
characteristics due to a baroclinc trough. No changes were made at
this time, and the forecast remains close to the consensus.
Idalia is moving faster toward the north-northeast or 025/16 kt.
After landfall, Idalia is expected to move near or along the coast
of Georgia and the Carolinas in 24-36 hours. Uncertainty in the
track forecast beyond 48 hours remains quite large, and the latest
guidance is significantly faster. The new forecast is adjusted
toward the consensus, but could be too slow at long range.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Catastrophic impacts from storm surge inundation of 12 to 16 feet
above ground level and destructive waves are expected somewhere
between the Wakulla/Jefferson County line and Yankeetown, Florida.
Life-threatening storm surge inundation is likely elsewhere along
portions of the Florida Gulf Coast where a Storm Surge Warning is in
effect. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by
local officials.
2. Destructive life-threatening winds will occur where the core of
Idalia moves onshore in the Big Bend region of Florida, with
hurricane conditions expected elsewhere in portions of the Hurricane
Warning area along the Florida Gulf Coast. Strong winds will also
spread inland across portions of northern Florida and southern
Georgia near the track of the center of Idalia where Hurricane
Warnings are in effect. Residents in these areas should be prepared
for long-duration power outages. Damaging hurricane-force winds are
likely in portions of eastern Georgia and southeastern South
Carolina where Hurricane Warnings are now in effect.
3. Areas of flash, urban, and moderate river flooding, with
considerable impacts, are expected from the Florida Big Ben through,
central Georgia and South Carolina, through eastern North Carolina
into Thursday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 30/0900Z 29.1N 84.1W 115 KT 130 MPH
12H 30/1800Z 31.0N 82.7W 85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
24H 31/0600Z 33.1N 79.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND
36H 31/1800Z 33.8N 76.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...OVER WATER
48H 01/0600Z 33.3N 72.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
60H 01/1800Z 32.4N 70.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 02/0600Z 31.5N 69.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
96H 03/0600Z 30.7N 68.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 04/0600Z 30.5N 66.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
$$
Forecaster Blake
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