Monday, August 28, 2023

Hurricane Warning (FL)





 



This is likely to be a major hurricane at the time of landfall. 

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

510 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


GMZ830-850-853-870-873-876-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Tampa Bay waters-

Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-

Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-

Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-

Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-

Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-

510 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 55 kt with gusts up to 85 kt and

  seas 18 to 23 ft.


* WHERE...Portions of Gulf of Mexico.


* WHEN...Hurricane force winds possible Tuesday through

  Wednesday afternoon.


* IMPACTS...Extremely strong winds will cause hazardous seas

  which will likely capsize or damage vessels and severely

  reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the

vessel for extreme conditions.


&&


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ242-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Citrus-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Inverness

    - Crystal River

    - Homosassa Springs


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening and historic storm

      surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 8-12 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 9 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme life-threatening storm surge

          flooding greater than 9 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding

          greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural

          damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly

          compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may

          be uninhabitable for an extended period.

        - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or

          severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may

          become stressed.

        - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.

        - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

          Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many

          lifted onshore and stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ151-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Hillsborough-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Tampa

    - Apollo Beach

    - Westchase


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 65 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

          until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

      to 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

          2 hurricane force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

          having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

          structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

          destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

          Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

        - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

          roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Large areas with power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

          greater than 6 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

          accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

          buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

          floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

          extended period.

        - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

          roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

          and barriers may become stressed.

        - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

        - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

          small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

          unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

          stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ148-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Hernando-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Hernando Beach

    - Bayport


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

          until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 6-9 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

          greater than 6 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

          accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

          buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

          floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

          extended period.

        - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

          roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

          and barriers may become stressed.

        - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

        - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

          small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

          unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

          stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ239-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Levy-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Chiefland

    - Bronson

    - Williston


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 60 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Wednesday

          morning until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major

      flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are

          likely.

        - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially

          if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and

          rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

          multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches

          may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and

          barriers may become stressed.

        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or

          washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover

          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of

          moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions

          become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some

          weakened or washed out.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ149-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Pasco-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Port Richey

    - Hudson

    - Holiday


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 40-50 mph with gusts to 75 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

          until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 6-9 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

          greater than 6 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

          accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

          buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

          floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

          extended period.

        - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

          roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

          and barriers may become stressed.

        - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

        - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

          small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

          unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

          stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ249-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Pasco-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Dade City

    - Zephyrhills

    - Land O Lakes


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

      to 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

          2 hurricane force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

          having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

          structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

          destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

          Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

        - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

          roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Large areas with power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ050-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Pinellas-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - St. Petersburg

    - Clearwater

    - Largo


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

          until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

          greater than 6 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

          accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

          buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

          floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

          extended period.

        - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

          roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

          and barriers may become stressed.

        - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

        - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

          small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

          unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

          stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ043-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Sumter-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Wildwood

    - Lake Panasoffkee

    - Bushnell


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

      to 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

          2 hurricane force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

          having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

          structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

          destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

          Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

        - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

          roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Large areas with power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ248-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Hernando-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Brooksville

    - Spring Hill

    - High Point


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

      to 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

          2 hurricane force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

          having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

          structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

          destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

          Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

        - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

          roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Large areas with power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ139-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Levy-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Cedar Key

    - Yankeetown

    - Fowler Bluff


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force

      wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 50-65 mph with gusts to 85 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Wednesday

          morning until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening and historic storm

      surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 8-12 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 9 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme life-threatening storm surge

          flooding greater than 9 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding

          greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural

          damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly

          compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may

          be uninhabitable for an extended period.

        - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or

          severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may

          become stressed.

        - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.

        - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

          Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many

          lifted onshore and stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major

      flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are

          likely.

        - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially

          if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and

          rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

          multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches

          may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and

          barriers may become stressed.

        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or

          washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover

          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of

          moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions

          become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some

          weakened or washed out.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ142-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Citrus-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Crystal River

    - Homosassa


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Wednesday

          morning until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening and historic storm

      surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 8-12 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 9 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme life-threatening storm surge

          flooding greater than 9 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding

          greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural

          damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly

          compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may

          be uninhabitable for an extended period.

        - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or

          severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may

          become stressed.

        - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.

        - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

          Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many

          lifted onshore and stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major

      flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are

          likely.

        - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially

          if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and

          rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

          multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches

          may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and

          barriers may become stressed.

        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or

          washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover

          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of

          moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions

          become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some

          weakened or washed out.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ251-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Hillsborough-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Brandon

    - Plant City

    - Sun City Center


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

      to 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

          2 hurricane force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

          having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

          structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

          destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

          Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

        - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

          roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Large areas with power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ155-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Manatee-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Bradenton

    - Anna Maria Island


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

          until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

      to 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

          2 hurricane force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

          having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

          structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

          destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

          Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

        - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

          roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Large areas with power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

          greater than 6 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

          completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

          accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

          buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

          floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

          extended period.

        - Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

          roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

          and barriers may become stressed.

        - Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

        - Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

          small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

          unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

          stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ255-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Manatee-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Parrish

    - Lakewood Ranch

    - Myakka City


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL102023

457 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ236-290500-

/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.W.1010.230828T2057Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.UPG.KJAX.HU.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Western Alachua-

457 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...


A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected

somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - High Springs

    - Newberry

    - Archer


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain

      possible

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

      greater than 110 mph

        - The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

          force or higher.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

        - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

          roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

          homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

          projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

          months.

        - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

          and roadway signs blown over.

        - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Widespread power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major

      flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are

          likely.

        - PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially

          if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and

          rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

          multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches

          may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and

          barriers may become stressed.

        - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

          communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or

          washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover

          escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of

          moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions

          become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some

          weakened or washed out.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed

          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - Family Emergency Plans (FEMA): http://ready.gov/hurricanes

    - Local weather conditions and forecasts: http://www.weather.gov/jax/


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL102023

457 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ340-290500-

/O.NEW.KJAX.HU.W.1010.230828T2057Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.UPG.KJAX.HU.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Western Marion-

457 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...


A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected

somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Ocala Airport

    - Rainbow Lakes Estates

    - Dunnellon

    - Romeo


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain

      possible

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 55 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

      to 110 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

          2 hurricane force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

        - Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

          having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

          structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

          destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

          Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

        - Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

          roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Large areas with power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed

          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - Family Emergency Plans (FEMA): http://ready.gov/hurricanes

    - Local weather conditions and forecasts: http://www.weather.gov/jax/


$$


STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ148-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Coastal Hernando-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Hernando Beach

- Bayport


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

greater than 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

force or higher.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

months.

- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

and roadway signs blown over.

- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 6-9 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

greater than 6 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

extended period.

- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

and barriers may become stressed.

- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

closures.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2869 8264 2870 8263 2869 8263 2870 8261

          2870 8255 2866 8255 2864 8255 2860 8255

          2860 8255 2843 8260 2843 8267 2843 8267

          2847 8269 2850 8269 2858 8266 2865 8269

          2867 8269 2870 8267 2869 8265 2870 8264

          2869 8264


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ149-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Coastal Pasco-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Port Richey

- Hudson

- Holiday


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 40-50 mph with gusts to 75 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

greater than 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

force or higher.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

months.

- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

and roadway signs blown over.

- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 6-9 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

greater than 6 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

extended period.

- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

and barriers may become stressed.

- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

closures.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2838 8262 2835 8261 2831 8261 2817 8265

          2817 8265 2817 8272 2817 8275 2817 8278

          2817 8279 2817 8279 2817 8280 2818 8280

          2817 8281 2817 8281 2817 8285 2820 8285

          2821 8285 2821 8284 2818 8284 2819 8281

          2819 8279 2820 8279 2821 8278 2821 8277

          2826 8276 2826 8275 2833 8274 2839 8272

          2842 8270 2842 8269 2843 8268 2843 8267

          2843 8267 2843 8260 2838 8262


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ160-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Coastal Sarasota-


...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Venice

- Sarasota

- Englewood


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 65 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

to 73 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

storm force.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

significant wind damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

- Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

fences and roadway signs blown over.

- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Scattered power and communications outages, but more

prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

greater than 3 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should

soon be brought to completion before conditions become

unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated

by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the

coast.

- Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads

become weakened or washed out, especially in usually

vulnerable low spots.

- Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong

and numerous rip currents.

- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially

in unprotected anchorages.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

closures.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2739 8245 2726 8245 2723 8245 2722 8245

          2717 8243 2712 8232 2710 8229 2703 8226

          2700 8226 2700 8225 2695 8226 2695 8238

          2705 8245 2710 8247 2721 8251 2727 8256

          2728 8257 2729 8256 2732 8259 2732 8260

          2736 8263 2739 8265 2739 8257 2739 8245


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ142-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Coastal Citrus-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Crystal River

- Homosassa


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Wednesday

morning until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

greater than 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

force or higher.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

months.

- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

and roadway signs blown over.

- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening and historic storm

surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 8-12 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 9 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme life-threatening storm surge

flooding greater than 9 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding

greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural

damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly

compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may

be uninhabitable for an extended period.

- Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or

severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may

become stressed.

- Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.

- Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many

lifted onshore and stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major

flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are

likely.

- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially

if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and

rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches

may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and

barriers may become stressed.

- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or

washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover

escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of

moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions

become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some

weakened or washed out.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2902 8264 2890 8258 2880 8258 2878 8255

          2870 8255 2870 8261 2869 8263 2870 8263

          2869 8264 2870 8264 2869 8265 2870 8267

          2871 8272 2876 8271 2878 8276 2881 8275

          2888 8273 2889 8270 2894 8272 2897 8273

          2897 8275 2899 8275 2900 8276 2901 8274

          2902 8273 2903 8271 2903 8269 2902 8264


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ151-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Coastal Hillsborough-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Tampa

- Apollo Beach

- Westchase


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 65 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

to 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

2 hurricane force.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

roadway signs blown over.

- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Large areas with power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

greater than 6 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

extended period.

- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

and barriers may become stressed.

- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

closures.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2760 8276 2758 8276 2759 8277 2760 8276

LAT...LON 2810 8259 2807 8254 2808 8246 2807 8242

          2804 8237 2799 8234 2794 8233 2791 8234

          2790 8234 2789 8235 2786 8235 2780 8236

          2777 8236 2774 8238 2772 8238 2770 8242

          2767 8244 2765 8246 2765 8255 2771 8252

          2778 8245 2781 8246 2787 8244 2790 8245

          2792 8249 2790 8249 2789 8248 2786 8249

          2784 8247 2782 8247 2783 8251 2783 8253

          2784 8256 2794 8257 2797 8262 2802 8265

          2817 8265 2815 8262 2810 8259


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ050-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Pinellas-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- St. Petersburg

- Clearwater

- Largo


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

greater than 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

force or higher.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

months.

- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

and roadway signs blown over.

- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

greater than 6 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

extended period.

- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

and barriers may become stressed.

- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

closures.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2817 8280 2817 8279 2817 8279 2817 8278

          2817 8275 2817 8272 2817 8265 2817 8265

          2802 8265 2801 8266 2797 8263 2796 8268

          2796 8272 2794 8271 2791 8263 2788 8258

          2780 8258 2777 8261 2771 8262 2769 8267

          2763 8266 2760 8274 2774 8277 2786 8287

          2809 8285 2810 8279 2815 8281 2816 8285

          2817 8285 2817 8281 2817 8281 2818 8280

          2817 8280


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ242-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Inland Citrus-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Inverness

- Crystal River

- Homosassa Springs


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

greater than 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

force or higher.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

months.

- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

and roadway signs blown over.

- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening and historic storm

surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 8-12 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 9 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme life-threatening storm surge

flooding greater than 9 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding

greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural

damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly

compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may

be uninhabitable for an extended period.

- Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or

severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may

become stressed.

- Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.

- Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many

lifted onshore and stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

closures.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2905 8246 2903 8250 2902 8254 2894 8253

          2886 8252 2879 8252 2873 8251 2870 8250

          2870 8255 2878 8255 2880 8258 2890 8258

          2902 8264 2901 8261 2901 8260 2903 8260

          2903 8258 2905 8254 2904 8251 2904 8251

          2905 8249 2905 8246


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ155-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Coastal Manatee-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Bradenton

- Anna Maria Island


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74

to 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or

2 hurricane force.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some

having window, door, and garage door failures leading to

structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some

destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.

Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.

- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

roadway signs blown over.

- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Large areas with power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 4-7 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 6 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

greater than 6 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Large areas of deep inundation with storm surge flooding

accentuated by battering waves. Structural damage to

buildings, with several washing away. Damage compounded by

floating debris. Locations may be uninhabitable for an

extended period.

- Large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary

roads washed out or severely flooded. Flood control systems

and barriers may become stressed.

- Severe beach erosion with significant dune loss.

- Major damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Many

small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

unprotected anchorages with some lifted onshore and

stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

moderate flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

are possible.

- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

and rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

closures.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2761 8251 2759 8252 2753 8251 2753 8251

          2753 8250 2751 8249 2751 8249 2751 8249

          2750 8248 2749 8247 2747 8246 2741 8246

          2739 8245 2739 8257 2739 8265 2743 8269

          2754 8275 2753 8269 2757 8262 2759 8263

          2763 8259 2764 8258 2765 8255 2765 8246

          2761 8251


$$

STORM SURGE WARNING

NWS TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023


FLZ139-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

506 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2023

Coastal Levy-


...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

- Cedar Key

- Yankeetown

- Fowler Bluff


* WIND

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force

wind

- Peak Wind Forecast: 50-65 mph with gusts to 85 mph

- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early Wednesday

morning until Wednesday afternoon


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind

greater than 110 mph

- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme wind of equivalent CAT 3 hurricane

force or higher.

- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

should be urgently completed. Prepare for catastrophic wind

damage.

- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete

roof and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile

homes. Damage greatly accentuated by large airborne

projectiles. Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks or

months.

- Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences

and roadway signs blown over.

- Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within

urban or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways,

and access routes impassable.

- Widespread power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening and historic storm

surge possible

- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 8-12 feet

above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

- Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

surge flooding greater than 9 feet above ground

- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Plan for extreme life-threatening storm surge

flooding greater than 9 feet above ground.

- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts should soon be brought to

completion before driving conditions become unsafe.

- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

needlessly risk lives.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic

- Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding

greatly accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural

damage to buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly

compounded from considerable floating debris. Locations may

be uninhabitable for an extended period.

- Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or

severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may

become stressed.

- Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.

- Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many

lifted onshore and stranded.


* FLOODING RAIN

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

higher amounts


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major

flooding rain

- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

the previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are

likely.

- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially

if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.

- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive

- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and

rescues.

- Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches

may become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and

barriers may become stressed.

- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or

washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover

escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of

moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions

become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some

weakened or washed out.


* TORNADO

- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

- Situation is favorable for tornadoes


- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

tornadoes

- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

previous assessment.

- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

damage paths.

- PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

arrives.

- ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

communications failures.

- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

- https://www.weather.gov/tbw


LAT...LON 2927 8277 2921 8273 2916 8268 2906 8266

          2902 8264 2903 8269 2903 8271 2902 8273

          2901 8274 2900 8276 2899 8275 2899 8276

          2900 8277 2903 8278 2905 8281 2909 8283

          2915 8283 2916 8298 2909 8303 2909 8308

          2913 8310 2918 8309 2926 8311 2929 8315

          2928 8316 2929 8317 2930 8316 2930 8316

          2931 8315 2932 8314 2932 8311 2933 8311

          2933 8311 2934 8310 2933 8309 2935 8306

          2935 8306 2935 8306 2935 8307 2936 8307

          2936 8306 2937 8307 2938 8306 2938 8305

          2940 8303 2940 8303 2941 8303 2941 8302

          2942 8303 2942 8302 2943 8302 2945 8301

          2946 8300 2947 8299 2927 8277


$$


Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL102023

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ044-290515-

/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Northern Lake-

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: tropical storm force wind remain possible

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed

          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL102023

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ053-290515-

/O.EXA.KMLB.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.UPG.KMLB.TR.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Osceola-

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...


A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are

expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain

      possible

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      localized flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          localized flooding from heavy rain.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter

          currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may

          become swollen and overflow in spots.

        - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in

          usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding

          of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor

          drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds

          become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and

          bridge closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL102023

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ046-290515-

/O.EXA.KMLB.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.UPG.KMLB.TR.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Seminole-

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...


A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are

expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain

      possible

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      localized flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          localized flooding from heavy rain.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly rise with swifter

          currents. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may

          become swollen and overflow in spots.

        - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in

          usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding

          of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor

          drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds

          become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and

          bridge closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL102023

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ144-290515-

/O.CON.KMLB.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Southern Lake-

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: tropical storm force wind remain possible

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed

          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL102023

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ045-290515-

/O.EXA.KMLB.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.UPG.KMLB.TR.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Orange-

511 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...


A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are

expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Tropical storm force winds remain

      possible

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed

          about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


$$

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

510 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


GMZ836-856-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-

Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-

510 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* WHAT...Southeast winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 60 kt and

  seas 12 to 17 ft.


* WHERE...Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound and Coastal

  waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM.


* WHEN...Tropical storm force winds possible Tuesday through

  Wednesday afternoon.


* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which

  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.

Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the

vessel for severe conditions.


&&


$$

Caribbean Sea

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL

508 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


Offshore Waters Forecast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to

22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W

including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea.


Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average

height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be

more than twice the significant wave height.


AMZ063-290915-

Atlantic from 29N to 31N W of 77W-

508 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...


.TONIGHT...E to SE winds 10 kt, shifting to S late.

Seas 6 to 8 ft.

.TUE...Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming S to SW 10 kt in

the afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft.

.TUE NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. S winds 15 to

20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.

.WED...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. S winds 20 to 25 kt,

increasing to 30 to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

Scattered showers and isolated tstms.

.WED NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. N of 29N W of

79W, S to SW winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming SW to W 25 to 30 kt

late. Elsewhere, SW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to

13 ft.

.THU...SW to W winds 20 to 25 kt. N of 29N W of 79W, seas 9 to

13 ft, subsiding to 7 to 10 ft in the afternoon. Elsewhere, seas

9 to 14 ft.

.THU NIGHT...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.

.FRI...W to NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.

.FRI NIGHT...NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft.

.SAT...N winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ262-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Charlotte-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Babcock Ranch


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ160-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Sarasota-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Venice

    - Sarasota

    - Englewood


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 65 mph

        - Window for Tropical Storm force winds: Tuesday evening

          until Wednesday afternoon


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 3-5 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should

          soon be brought to completion before conditions become

          unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated

          by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the

          coast.

        - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads

          become weakened or washed out, especially in usually

          vulnerable low spots.

        - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong

          and numerous rip currents.

        - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

          Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially

          in unprotected anchorages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ052-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Polk-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Lakeland

    - Winter Haven

    - Bartow


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ061-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

DeSoto-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Arcadia

    - Fort Ogden


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ162-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.SS.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Coastal Charlotte-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...STORM SURGE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Port Charlotte

    - Punta Gorda

    - Charlotte harbor


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible

        - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet

          above ground somewhere within surge prone areas

        - Window of concern: Tuesday afternoon until Thursday morning


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm

      surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of

          greater than 3 feet above ground.

        - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should

          soon be brought to completion before conditions become

          unsafe.

        - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for

          your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or

          needlessly risk lives.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated

          by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the

          coast.

        - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads

          become weakened or washed out, especially in usually

          vulnerable low spots.

        - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong

          and numerous rip currents.

        - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

          Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially

          in unprotected anchorages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a

          few tornadoes.

        - PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to

          tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before

          hazardous weather arrives.

        - ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter

          quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with

          power and communications disruptions.

        - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,

          chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or

          overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,

          shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown

          off roads, and boats pulled from moorings.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ260-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.HU.A.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Inland Sarasota-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - North Port


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58

      to 73 mph

        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical

          storm force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property

          should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for

          significant wind damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with

          damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few

          buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door

          failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored.

          Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles.

        - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

          numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

          fences and roadway signs blown over.

        - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within

          urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways,

          and access routes impassable.

        - Scattered power and communications outages, but more

          prevalent in areas with above ground lines.


* STORM SURGE

    - No storm surge inundation forecast


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm

      surge flooding

        - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.

          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip

          currents are possible.

        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding

          are needed.

        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor

          forecasts.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None

        - Little to no potential impacts from storm surge flooding.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$

Idalia Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL  AL102023

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


FLZ056-290515-

/O.CON.KTBW.TR.W.1010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

Hardee-

506 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...


* LOCATIONS AFFECTED

    - Wauchula

    - Bowling Green

    - Zolfo Springs


* WIND

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind

        - Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39

      to 57 mph

        - The wind threat has decreased from the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm

          force.

        - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect property should be

          completed as soon as possible. Prepare for limited wind

          damage.

        - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited

        - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

          mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

        - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

          uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees

          are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown

          over.

        - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within

          urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving

          conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.

        - Scattered power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally

          higher amounts


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for

      moderate flooding rain

        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from

          the previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues

          are possible.

        - PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area

          vulnerable to flooding.

        - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take

          action may result in serious injury or loss of life.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations

          and rescues.

        - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with

          swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,

          especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,

          creeks, canals, and ditches overflow.

        - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken

          foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas

          of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and

          poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on

          moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.

          Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge

          closures.


* TORNADO

    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:

        - Situation is favorable for tornadoes


    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST

      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several

      tornadoes

        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the

          previous assessment.

        - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for

          several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger

          damage paths.

        - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are

          urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather

          arrives.

        - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado

          warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly.


    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant

        - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the

          execution of emergency plans during tropical events.

        - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few

          spots of considerable damage, power loss, and

          communications failures.

        - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

          homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped

          or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about.

          Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


* FOR MORE INFORMATION:

    - https://www.weather.gov/tbw


$$


Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-141-144-154-159-164-247-254-259-264-347-447-547-647-747-290600-


Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Melbourne FL  AL102023

557 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


This product covers East Central Florida



**Tropical Storm Idalia On The Cusp Of Becoming A Hurricane**



NEW INFORMATION

---------------


* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - The Tropical Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm

      Warning for Orange, Osceola, and Seminole


* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Northern Lake,

      Orange, Osceola, Seminole, and Southern Lake

    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Coastal Volusia, Inland

      Northern Brevard, Inland Southern Brevard, Inland Volusia,

      Mainland Northern Brevard, Mainland Southern Brevard, Northern

      Brevard Barrier Islands, and Southern Brevard Barrier Islands


* STORM INFORMATION:

    - About 550 miles south-southwest of Leesburg FL

    - 21.4N 85.1W

    - Storm Intensity 70 mph

    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 8 mph


SITUATION OVERVIEW

------------------


The center of Tropical Storm Idalia is located around 35 miles

south of the western tip of Cuba late this afternoon. With maximum

sustained winds of 70 mph, Idalia is moving north at about 8 mph, and

a continued northward motion is expected tonight and Tuesday. Idalia

is forecast to cross the Florida Gulf coast late on Wednesday as a

major hurricane. Preparations should be ongoing for local tropical

storm conditions by Tuesday night and into Wednesday.


A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Lake county. A Tropical

Storm Warning is now in effect for Osceola, Orange and Seminole

counties. A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Volusia and

Brevard Counties. For the Atlantic waters, a Tropical Storm Watch

remains in effect north of Sebastian Inlet.


Showers and squalls associated with outer rain bands from Idalia

should reach central Florida on Tuesday, with conditions further

deteriorating Tuesday night and Wednesday as Idalia accelerates

north-northeastward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The possibility

of strong to damaging wind gusts in squalls will increase as tropical

storm force winds extend well eastward from the storm`s center. Based

on the current forecast track, Idalia will make its closest pass to

east-central Florida late Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning,

continuing northeastward during the day on Wednesday. Wednesday will

be a windy day even outside of squalls.


While the heaviest rainfall from Idalia is currently forecast to fall

along the Gulf Coast and western Florida Peninsula, gusty squalls will

be capable of torrential downpours, especially Tuesday and Wednesday.

One to two inches of rain from Monday afternoon through Wednesday

night is forecast for coastal areas and Okeechobee County, and two to

four inches is forecast west of I-95 from Brevard and Osceola Counties

northward, with locally higher amounts possible. Locations in closer

proximity to the center of Idalia, generally along and west of

Interstate Four in east-central Florida, may receive higher rainfall

totals.


In addition to strong wind gusts, a threat for tornadoes is forecast

to develop from Tuesday afternoon continuing into Wednesday.


Incoming Atlantic swell from Major Hurricane Franklin combined with

winds from Idalia will lead to high seas, rough surf, an increase in

life-threatening rip currents, and beach erosion during high tides

during Tuesday and Wednesday.


Do not let your guard down. Impacts from Idalia will be felt far from

the center of the storm. Now is the time to ensure your hurricane

supply kit is stocked and your safety plan is in place.


As Idalia becomes better organized through tonight, additional changes

to the current forecast are possible. Any eastward adjustments in the

forecast track would increase the potential for local impacts, so

continue to monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane

Center and National Weather Service in Melbourne, Florida.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS

-----------------


* WIND:

Protect against dangerous wind having possible significant impacts

across portions of east central Florida. Potential impacts in this area

include:

    - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage

      to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings

      experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile

      homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight

      objects become dangerous projectiles.

    - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater

      numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Several

      fences and roadway signs blown over.

    - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban

      or heavily wooded places. A few bridges, causeways, and access

      routes impassable.

    - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent

      in areas with above ground lines.



* FLOODING RAIN:

Protect against dangerous rainfall flooding having possible

significant impacts across portions of east central Florida. Potential

impacts include:

    - Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations and

      rescues.

    - Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with swifter

      currents and overspill their banks in a few places, especially

      in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams, creeks, canals, and

      ditches overflow.

    - Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken foundations.

      Several places may experience expanded areas of rapid

      inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage

      areas. Some streets and parking lots take on moving water as

      storm drains and retention ponds overflow. Driving conditions

      become hazardous. Some road and bridge closures.



* TORNADOES:

Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant

impacts across portions of east central Florida. Potential impacts

include:

    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution

      of emergency plans during tropical events.

    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots

      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.

    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or

      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.

      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.



* SURGE:

Direct surge impacts from Idalia are not currently anticipated at this time.

However, larger swells and surf combined with Hurricane Franklin will bring

a threat for minor coastal   flooding and beach erosion. Locations more

vulnerable to coastal flooding and beach erosion, such as portions of the

Volusia and Brevard county coast, should stay updated on the latest forecasts.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

----------------------------------


* EVACUATIONS:

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions, including

possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so immediately.


For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind, falling

trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move, relocate to a

safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help keep roadways open for

those under evacuation orders.



* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit

and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your home

or business.


When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the

exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging

wind gusts, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm.


When securing your property, outside preparations should be

concluded as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The

onset of strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain

preparedness activities to become unsafe.


Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news

outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes

to the forecast.


There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways

to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov

- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org

- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org


NEXT UPDATE

-----------


The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather

Service in Melbourne FL around Midnight EDT, or sooner if conditions

warrant.


$$

Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-290530-


Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL  AL102023

525 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


This product covers West Central and Southwest Florida


**IDALIA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY WITH LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND

DANGEROUS WINDS LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA**


NEW INFORMATION

---------------


* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - None


* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - A Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect for

      Coastal Citrus, Coastal Hernando, Coastal Hillsborough, Coastal

      Levy, Coastal Manatee, Coastal Pasco, Inland Citrus, and

      Pinellas

    - A Storm Surge Warning, Tropical Storm Warning, and Hurricane

      Watch are in effect for Coastal Sarasota

    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Inland Hernando, Inland

      Hillsborough, Inland Levy, Inland Manatee, Inland Pasco, and

      Sumter

    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for

      Inland Sarasota

    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect

      for Coastal Charlotte and Coastal Lee

    - A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for DeSoto, Hardee,

      Inland Charlotte, Inland Lee, and Polk


* STORM INFORMATION:

    - About 550 miles south-southwest of Cedar Key FL or about 450

      miles south-southwest of Mouth of Tampa Bay FL

    - 21.4N 85.1W

    - Storm Intensity 70 mph

    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 8 mph


SITUATION OVERVIEW

------------------


Tropical Storm Idalia continues to intensify off of the Yucatan

Coast. Idalia is forecast to move north and eventually northeast

across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, making its way towards the Florida

peninsula and intensifying into a major hurricane. Watches and

Warnings remain in effect for West Central and Southwest Florida and

adjacent coastal waters.


The following are the primary hazards of concern with Idalia:


* Storm Surge - Areas across the Nature Coast are forecast to see

extreme life-threatening levels of storm surge, with life- threatening

surge also possible across west-central Florida. The main period of

coastal flooding looks to occur Tuesday afternoon through early

Thursday.


* Wind - Winds will increase Tuesday and remain gusty even after the

storm passes into Thursday. Hurricane force winds are possible across

much of the area and should be what residents prepare for, with

tropical storm force winds possible across the southern zones.


* Rainfall - The majority of the rainfall associated with the system

is forecast to fall Tuesday and Wednesday. A slight to moderate risk

for flooding is possible, mainly along the coast and across the

northern zones. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with locally higher

amounts up to 12 inches is possible.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS

-----------------


* SURGE:

Protect against life-threatening surge having possible devastating

impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts in

this area include:

    - Widespread deep inundation, with storm surge flooding greatly

      accentuated by powerful battering waves. Structural damage to

      buildings, with many washing away. Damage greatly compounded

      from considerable floating debris. Locations may be

      uninhabitable for an extended period.

    - Near-shore escape routes and secondary roads washed out or

      severely flooded. Flood control systems and barriers may become

      stressed.

    - Extreme beach erosion. New shoreline cuts possible.

    - Massive damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

      Numerous small craft broken away from moorings with many lifted

      onshore and stranded.


* WIND:

Protect against life-threatening wind having possible devastating

impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts in

this area include:

    - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof

      and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage

      greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations

      may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

    - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

      roadway signs blown over.

    - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban

      or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access

      routes impassable.

    - Widespread power and communications outages.


* FLOODING RAIN:

Protect against life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible

extensive impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential

impacts include:

    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.

    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may

      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may

      become stressed.

    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed

      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.

      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with

      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.

      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.



* TORNADOES:

Protect against a dangerous tornado event having possible significant

impacts across west central and southwest Florida. Potential impacts

include:

    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution

      of emergency plans during tropical events.

    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots

      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.

    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or

      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and boats tossed about. Dangerous

      projectiles can add to the toll.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

----------------------------------


* EVACUATIONS:

WATCH/WARNING PHASE - Listen to local official for recommended

preparedness actions, including possible evacuation. If ordered to

evacuate, do so immediately.


WATCH/WARNING PHASE - For those not under evacuation orders, assess

the risk from wind, falling trees, and flooding at your location. If

you decide to move, relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do

not relocate, help keep roadways open for those under evacuation

orders.


WATCH/WARNING PHASE - If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind

and allow extra time to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit.

Gas up your vehicle ahead of time.



* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

If heading to a community shelter, become familiar with the shelter

rules before arrival, especially if you have special needs or have

pets. Take essential items with you from your Emergency Supplies Kit.


Failure to adequately shelter may result in serious injury or loss of

life. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with any

orders that are issued. Remember, during the storm 9 1 1 Emergency

Services may not be able to immediately respond if conditions are

unsafe. This should be a big factor in your decision making.



Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and

hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge

zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find

yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed

evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.




* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov

- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org

- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org


NEXT UPDATE

-----------


The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather

Service in Tampa Bay Ruskin FL around 12 AM EDT, or sooner if

conditions warrant.


$$

Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

FLZ020-021-023-024-030-031-033-035-038-122-124-125-132-133-136>138-140-222-225-232-236-237-240-325-340-425-GAZ149-152>154-162-163-165-166-250-264-350-364-290530-


Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Jacksonville FL  AL102023

518 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


This product covers Northeast Florida and Southeast Georgia


**HURRICANE WARNINGS POSTED ALONG THE I-75 CORRIDOR OF INLAND

NORTHEAST FLORIDA**


NEW INFORMATION

---------------


* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - The Hurricane Watch has been upgraded to a Hurricane Warning

      for Gilchrist, Suwannee, Western Alachua, and Western Marion

    - A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for Atkinson, Brantley,

      and Northern Ware


* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Gilchrist, Suwannee,

      Western Alachua, and Western Marion

    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for

      Coastal Camden and Coastal Glynn

    - A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Baker, Bradford, Central

      Marion, Clinch, Eastern Alachua, Echols, Hamilton, Northeastern

      Charlton, Northern Columbia, Southern Columbia, Southern Ware,

      Union, and Western Charlton

    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Atkinson, Brantley,

      Coastal Duval, Coastal Flagler, Coastal Nassau, Coastal St.

      Johns, Eastern Clay, Eastern Marion, Eastern Putnam, Inland

      Camden, Inland Flagler, Inland Glynn, Inland Nassau, Inland St.

      Johns, Northern Ware, South Central Duval, Trout River, Western

      Clay, Western Duval, and Western Putnam


* STORM INFORMATION:

    - About 660 miles south-southwest of Jacksonville FL or about 560

      miles south-southwest of Ocala FL

    - 21.4N 85.1W

    - Storm Intensity 70 mph

    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 8 mph


SITUATION OVERVIEW

------------------


Tropical Storm Idalia is forecast to track northward into the southeast

Gulf of Mexico tonight. Idalia is forecast to strengthen to Hurricane

intensity tonight, and rapid strengthening is possible as the Idalia

accelerates north-northeastward towards the Florida Big Bend on Tuesday.

Idalia is expected to make landfall at Category 3 hurricane strength

Wednesday morning, and the hurricane should then turn northeastward

as it accelerates across our area Wednesday afternoon. Idalia may maintain

hurricane intensity as it reaches the Atlantic waters adjacent to Camden

and Glynn Counties in coastal southeast Georgia by Wednesday evening.


Local impacts from Idalia will begin on Tuesday afternoon and evening,

as spiral rain bands begin to overspread our region from southwest to

northeast. Heavy rainfall will then continue through the day

Wednesday. Tornadoes will be possible across the area on Tuesday night

and Wednesday, with higher chances along and east of the Idalia`s

center. Sustained tropical storm force winds will begin to be felt

across north central Florida and the Suwannee Valley during the

overnight or predawn hours on Wednesday, with conditions deteriorating

quickly towards sunrise, when hurricane force wind gusts can be expected

along the I-75 corridor of inland Northeast Florida. Sustained tropical

storm force winds and occasional hurricane force wind gusts are expected.

The core of the hurricane force winds are forecast to move offshore

of coastal southeast Georgia by early Wednesday evening. Storm surge

potential will increase on Wednesday, especially along the southeast

Georgia coast, where life threatening inundation of greater than 3 feet

above ground level is possible.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS

-----------------


* WIND:

Prepare for life-threatening wind having possible devastating impacts

across along and west of I-75 in northeast Florida. Potential impacts

in this area include:

    - Structural damage to sturdy buildings, some with complete roof

      and wall failures. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Damage

      greatly accentuated by large airborne projectiles. Locations

      may be uninhabitable for weeks or months.

    - Numerous large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and

      roadway signs blown over.

    - Many roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban

      or heavily wooded places. Many bridges, causeways, and access

      routes impassable.

    - Widespread power and communications outages.


Also, prepare for life-threatening wind having possible significant

to extensive impacts across the rest of northeast Florida and

southeast Georgia.


* TORNADOES:

Prepare for a dangerous tornado event having possible significant

impacts across northeast Florida. Potential impacts include:

    - The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution

      of emergency plans during tropical events.

    - Several places may experience tornado damage with a few spots

      of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures.

    - Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile

      homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or

      uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about.

      Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.


Prepare for a tornado event having possible limited impacts across

southeast Georgia.


* FLOODING RAIN:

Prepare for life-threatening rainfall flooding having possible

extensive impacts across inland Northeast Florida and inland Southeast

Georgia. Potential impacts include:

    - Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and rescues.

    - Rivers and tributaries may rapidly overflow their banks in

      multiple places. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may

      become dangerous rivers. Flood control systems and barriers may

      become stressed.

    - Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple

      communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed

      away. Many places where flood waters may cover escape routes.

      Streets and parking lots become rivers of moving water with

      underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become dangerous.

      Many road and bridge closures with some weakened or washed out.


Prepare for dangerous rainfall flooding having possible limited to

significant impacts across coastal Southeast Georgia and coastal Northeast

Florida.


* SURGE:

Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant

impacts across coastal Southeast Georgia. Potential impacts in

this area include:

    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by

      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.

    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become

      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low

      spots.

    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and

      numerous rip currents.

    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

      unprotected anchorages.


Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited

impacts across coastal Northeast Florida including the St. Johns

River Basin.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

----------------------------------


* EVACUATIONS:

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,

including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so

immediately.


For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,

falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,

relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help

keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.


If evacuating, leave with a destination in mind and allow extra time

to get there. Take your emergency supplies kit. Gas up your vehicle

ahead of time.


Let others know where you are going prior to departure. Secure loose

items and pets in the car, and avoid distracted driving.


If evacuating, follow designated evacuation routes. Seek traffic

information on roadway signs, the radio, and from official sources.



* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:

Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies

kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your

home or business.


When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the

exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging

wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the

center of the storm.


If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large

trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or

on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.


If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as

near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor

drainage area, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground.


Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that

are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of

others.


When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded

as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of

strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness

activities to become unsafe.


Be sure to let friends and family members know of your intentions for

weathering the storm and your whereabouts. Have someone located away

from the threatened area serve as your point of contact. Share vital

contact information with others. Keep cell phones handy and charged.


Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are

unable to make personal preparations.


If you are a visitor, know the name of the county in which you are

located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If

staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite

disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to

area visitors.


Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news

outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes

to the forecast.


There is a threat from tornadoes with this storm. Have multiple ways

to receive Tornado Warnings. Be ready to shelter quickly.



* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov

- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org

- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org


NEXT UPDATE

-----------


The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather

Service in Jacksonville FL by 1AM EDT, or sooner if conditions

warrant.


$$

Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-290515-


Tropical Storm Idalia Local Statement Advisory Number 9

National Weather Service Miami FL  AL102023

503 PM EDT Mon Aug 28 2023


This product covers South Florida


 **Tropical Storm Idalia Continues to Strengthen**


NEW INFORMATION

---------------


* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - None


* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:

    - A Tropical Storm Warning and Storm Surge Watch are in effect

      for Coastal Collier County

    - A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Inland Collier County


* STORM INFORMATION:

    - About 430 miles southwest of Miami FL or about 390 miles

      south-southwest of Naples FL

    - 21.4N 85.1W

    - Storm Intensity 70 mph

    - Movement North or 360 degrees at 8 mph


SITUATION OVERVIEW

------------------


Tropical Storm Idalia continues to strengthen in the Yucatan Channel

today. The storm is forecast to move into the southeast Gulf of

Mexico tonight into Tuesday. Idalia is forecast to keep

strengthening over the eastern Gulf as it moves closer to the west

coast of Florida.


The following are the primary hazards of concern with Idalia:


* Coastal Flooding/Surge - Higher than usual tides due to the

  combination of surge from Idalia and the full moon could lead to

  coastal flooding of 2 to 4 feet in coastal Collier county and 1 to

  3 feet along the coast of mainland Monroe County. Other vulnerable

  coastal areas of southern Florida could also experience minor

  coastal flooding, especially around the times of high tide.


* Rainfall - The majority of the rainfall associated with the system

  is forecast to fall from this afternoon through Wednesday. The

  greatest risk for flash flooding will be near the Gulf coast.

  Storm total rain amounts of 2 to 3 inches with localized higher

  amounts. The highest amounts are anticipated along the Gulf coast.


* Wind - Increasingly gusty winds are forecast Tuesday through

  Thursday, particularly along the Gulf coast and adjacent coastal

  waters. A reasonable worst case scenario would have tropical storm

  force winds across Collier County between Monday night and

  Wednesday. Areas of the East Coast and Atlantic waters could also

  see gusty winds up to 35 mph during the same time frame.


* Tornadoes - A low-end tornado threat is possible through early

  Thursday as banding from the system moves ashore. The focus for

  tornadic activity could be in the western half of southern

  Florida.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS

-----------------


* SURGE:

Protect against life-threatening surge having possible significant

impacts across coastal Collier County. Potential impacts in

this area include:

    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by

      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.

    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become

      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low

      spots.

    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and

      numerous rip currents.

    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.

      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in

      unprotected anchorages.


Also, protect against locally hazardous surge having possible limited

impacts across coastal portions of mainland Monroe County.


Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.


* WIND:

Protect against hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across

Southwest Florida. Potential impacts in this area include:

    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored

      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.

    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or

      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are

      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.

    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban

      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on

      bridges and other elevated roadways.

    - Scattered power and communications outages.


Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.


* FLOODING RAIN:

Protect against locally hazardous rainfall flooding having possible

limited impacts across South Florida. Potential impacts include:

    - Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.

    - Ditches and canals may quickly rise with swift currents.

    - Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in usually

      vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding of water

      occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor drainage

      areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds become

      near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and bridge

      closures.


* TORNADOES:

Protect against a tornado event having possible limited impacts

across South Florida. Potential impacts include:

    - The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the execution

      of emergency plans during tropical events.

    - A few places may experience tornado damage, along with power

      and communications disruptions.

    - Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings, mobile

      homes pushed off foundations or overturned, large tree tops and

      branches snapped off, shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving

      vehicles blown off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.


Elsewhere across South Florida, little to no impact is anticipated.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS

----------------------------------


* EVACUATIONS:

Listen to local official for recommended preparedness actions,

including possible evacuation. If ordered to evacuate, do so

immediately.


For those not under evacuation orders, assess the risk from wind,

falling trees, and flooding at your location. If you decide to move,

relocate to a safer location nearby. If you do not relocate, help

keep roadways open for those under evacuation orders.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:


Now is the time to complete all preparations to protect life and

property in accordance with your emergency plan. Ensure you are in a

safe location before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.


If you are relocating to safe shelter, leave as early as possible.

Allow extra time to reach your destination. Many roads and bridges

will be closed once strong winds arrive. Check the latest weather

forecast before departing and drive with caution.


Keep cell phones well charged. Cell phone chargers for automobiles

can be helpful, but be aware of your risk for deadly carbon monoxide

poisoning if your car is left idling in a garage or other poorly

ventilated area.


If you are a visitor, be sure to know the name of the city or town in

which you are staying and the name of the county or parish in which

it resides. Listen for these locations in local news updates. Pay

attention for instructions from local authorities.


Storm surge is the leading killer associated with tropical storms and

hurricanes! Make sure you are in a safe area away from the surge

zone. Even if you are not in a surge-prone area, you could find

yourself cutoff by flood waters during and after the storm. Heed

evacuation orders issued by the local authorities.


Rapidly rising flood waters are deadly. If you are in a flood-prone

area, consider moving to higher ground. Never drive through a flooded

roadway. Remember, turn around don`t drown!


Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather radio or local news outlets

for official storm information. Be ready to adapt to possible changes

to the forecast. Ensure you have multiple ways to receive weather

warnings.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:

- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov

- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org

- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org


NEXT UPDATE

-----------


The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather

Service in Miami FL around 11 PM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant.


$$

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