Monday, October 16, 2023

Sunshine and Cool Temperatures Through Mid-Week

Today (High 60): Mostly sunny. Cool and breezy.

Tuesday (High 67, Low 40): Sunny. Cool.

Wednesday (High 70, Low 42): Sunny. Cool.

Thursday (High 71, Low 46): Partly to mostly sunny with an isolated shower possible during the day. Rain showers are likely at night.

Friday (High 69, Low 51): Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers.

Saturday (High 67, Low 45): Sunny.

Sunday (High 69, Low 42): Sunny.

Monday (High 72, Low 44): Sunny.

Hoy (Máxima 60): Mayormente soleado. Fresco y ventoso.

Martes (Máxima 67, Mínima 40): Soleado. Fresco.

Miércoles (Máxima 70, Mínima 42): Soleado. Fresco.

Jueves (Máxima 71, Mínima 46): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado con posible lluvia aislada durante el día. Es probable que haya lluvias por la noche.

Viernes (Máxima 69, Mínima 51): Mayormente nublado con un 40% de probabilidad de lluvias.

Sábado (Máxima 67, Mínima 45): Soleado.

Domingo (Máxima 69, Mínima 42): Soleado.

Lunes (Máxima 72, Mínima 44): Soleado.

As we approach daybreak this morning, skies are overcast in Cullman. The temperature is 45 degrees, and it looks like 43 was our Low for this morning. The dewpoint is also 45 degrees, making the relative humidity 100%. Winds are calm. The pressure is 30.01 inches and steady.

Skies are clear in Jasper with a temperature of 41 degrees, also 100% humidity there. Winds are from the West at 5 miles per hour. The pressure is 30.04 inches and rising slowly. 

We also have clear skies in Haleyville, temperature of 45, humidity 100%. Winds are Northwest at 6 mph. The pressure is 30.05 inches or 1016.8 millibars and rising slowly.

We have cold air advecting into the region today behind that front this weekend. Some very light showers are moving southward through Middle Tennessee. Overall today will be dry around here, with more sun than clouds, and a High near 60 degrees. Winds will be from North/Northwest and could still gust up to 15 or 20 miles per hour. 

Strong high pressure will build over the region tomorrow, and we'll start the day around 40 degrees. Winds should be from the Northwest but much calmer, and with plenty of sunshine, we should warm up to the upper 60's, about 66-67.

Then on Wednesday, the high pressure shifts more to the Mid-Atlantic coast. But our skies will stay sunny, and we'll warm to about 70 degrees again in the afternoon, after starting the day in the lower 40's.

Then as we get into the extended period, a trough will be swinging our way Thursday. It will probably be Thursday night before we see a chance for any widespread rain around here, the way the models are making the timing of this trough/front look right now. Might see something isolated during the day, but more likely just an increase in clouds Thursday, with a High near 70 again, Low creeping back up toward the upper 40's.

Then for Friday, looks like a 40% chance of rain. Mostly cloudy skies. High should be in upper 60's, Low in lower 50's. As the front moves through.

Looks like rapid clearing behind the front on Saturday, sunny skies returning, but with similar High temperatures, upper 60's, but with the Low dropping back down to mid-40's.

Then similar weather for Sunday except the Low should make it down into lower 40's with even drier air. And then on Monday similar temperatures except abundant sunshine may warm the High up a few degrees. Since my posts can be sporadic lately, going ahead and making it an 8-day outlook if you count today in it. In this pattern, I think you can do that and maintain accuracy.

We do have a disturbance in the Central Tropical Atlantic that is producing disorganized showers for now, and is not likely to develop over the next couple days, but later this week, is likely to become a tropical depression as it continues to move West/Northwest. 

Most of us will probably see a quarter-inch or less of total rainfall for this forecast period. As you get up into the Cumberland Plateau, there is a better chance of seeing up to a half-inch. 

This week is Severe Weather Awareness Week. We are almost to November. The National Weather Service in Birmingham is holding SKYWARN classes to get ready for that. And today NWS Nashville starts their Weather101 classes back up, first class this morning being on The Basics

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