Saturday, October 14, 2023

Plenty of Sunshine, More Cool Temperatures on the Way

(Forecast)

Today (High 70): Fog, clouds hanging around in the morning with an isolated shower possible in the morning. Then becoming mostly sunny and breezy. 

Sunday (High 59, Low 50): Partly to mostly sunny. Cool and breezy.

Monday (High 60, Low 43): Mostly sunny. Cool and still a little breezy.

Tuesday (High 63, Low 38): Sunny. Cool.

(Extended Outlook)

Wednesday (High 68, Low 40): Sunny. 

Thursday (High 70, Low 44): Partly to mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers.

Friday (High 69, Low 49): Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers.

Saturday (High 67, Low 51): Partly to mostly sunny with a 30% chance of showers. 

(Pronóstico)

Hoy (Máxima 70): Niebla, nubes flotando por la mañana con posible lluvia aislada por la mañana. Luego se vuelve mayormente soleado y ventoso.

Domingo (Máxima 59, Mínima 50): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado. Fresco y ventoso.

Lunes (Máxima 60, Mínima 43): Mayormente soleado. Fresco y todavía un poco ventoso.

Martes (Máxima 63, Mínima 38): Soleado. Fresco.

(Perspectiva Extendida)

Miércoles (Máxima 68, Mínima 40): Soleado.

Jueves (Máxima 70, Mínima 44): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado con un 20 % de probabilidad de lluvias.

Viernes (Máxima 69, Mínima 49): Mayormente nublado con un 40 % de probabilidad de lluvias.

Sábado (Máxima 67, Mínima 51): Parcialmente a mayormente soleado con un 30% de probabilidad de lluvias.

(Notes)

The National Weather Service in Birmingham is holding SKYWARN classes to get ready for our secondary peak in severe weather that November often brings. They are also having Open House today, Saturday the 14th. 

We also have a solar eclipse today, which is kind of interesting when you think about all the football games going on, wonder if it will affect any of them. Fun to watch regardless, just be sensibly safe about it. 

The National Weather Service in Nashville is holding Weather101 classes starting Monday. 

(Discussion)





Just after the Midnight hour, it is overcast in Cullman with the visibility down to 9 miles. The temperature is 64 degrees, and the dewpoint is the same, making the relative humidity 100%. Winds are from the Southwest at 6 miles per hour. The pressure is 29.90 inches and steady. Yesterday's High was 68, and the Low was 59. 

It is overcast in Jasper with a visibility of 8 miles. They are having some fog off and on as well. Temperature and dewpoint are 64 degrees, 100% relative humidity. Winds are calm. The pressure is 29.89 inches and falling slowly. The High yesterday was 70, with a morning Low of 55. 

It is overcast in Haleyville, but the visibility is still 10 miles. Temperature and dewpoint are 64 degrees, 100% relative humidity. Winds are from the Southwest at 6 mph. The pressure is 29.91 inches and falling slowly. Looks like the High was 69, but the observations are missing for Friday morning and all of Thursday the 12th. 

Heavy fog with visibility of only 2 miles in Fort Payne, 63 degrees there. Also really foggy in Gadsden, 65 degrees, visibility down to 3 miles. It is overcast and 66 in Decatur. Overcast and 65 in Huntsville. Mostly cloudy and 67 in Muscle Shoals.

Elsewhere around the region, Birmingham has heavy fog and 67 degrees. Atlanta is overcast with drizzle and heavy fog, 63 degrees. Nashville is mostly cloudy and 67. Memphis is mostly cloudy and 68. Tupelo is overcast and 68. 




A cold front will continue pushing through the region today and will leave us breezy and cool conditions in its wake. 



Clearing will be rapid, and we might see an isolated shower this morning along with some fog hanging around, but as we go through the day, clouds will decrease, and we'll see a lot more sunshine, High near 70. And it will be breezy. Winds could gust as high as 20 miles per hour, including tonight (meaning not the night I'm writing this but Saturday night).



Breezy again tomorrow with a few clouds coming back as a shortwave moves through Southern Middle Tennessee around the larger trough axis. Could even see an isolated shower up that way, but mainly we'll just have a cool, breezy Sunday, winds could again gust up to at least 20 mph. High should be near 60, Low near 50. The clouds may keep temperature down more like 57-59 range, and really, with all that wind, it will feel cooler than that. 



On Monday with Northwest upper-level wind flow and high pressure moving in front out West, skies should be mostly sunny with a High near 60 again, maybe upper 50's, and a Low in the lower 40's with good radiational cooling conditions overnight. Could still be a little breezy, but winds should die down by Monday night. 



Then Tuesday under high pressure, expecting sunny skies, a High in the lower 60's and a Low near 40, could even dip to upper 30's.



Similar weather on Wednesday, but the High will probably get back into the upper 60's.



Then on Thursday, we have another cold front moving through the Midwest and Mid-South. We'll probably see more sun than clouds overall, but could see an isolated shower out ahead of this, a High near 70, Low more toward the mid-40's. Rain chances may increase as early as Thursday night.



Then as the front pushes through on Friday, rain chances may increase to 40-50%, High near 70 again, Low near 50. 



The GFS shows rapid clearing on Saturday.


As is often the case, the ECMWF is a little slower and more gradual with the clearing. 

So rain chances should be low, about 20-30%. And the High probably in upper 60's, Low in lower 50's, about 50 or so. 



And if we want to peek into the land of tea leaves, through Tuesday of the following week, looks like high pressure sets up again, plenty of sunshine, Highs roughly around 70, Lows roughly around 50. 


We have Tropical Storm Sean and another disorganized system behind it that will probably form into a tropical depression over the next few days. 



Tropical Storm Sean is looking pretty puny and is expected to dissipate by Monday. 


Most of us will probably only see up to a tenth of an inch of rainfall totals for this forecast period. Northeast Alabama up into parts of the Cumberland Plateau in Tennessee, maybe more like a quarter-inch or even a half-inch in isolated places. But this is typically our driest time of the year. 

No comments:

Post a Comment

July Heat Returns Shortly . . .

FORECAST: Friday (High 94, Low 66): Mostly sunny. Cool in the morning, hot in the afternoon.  Saturday (High 96, Low 69): Partly to mostly s...