Wednesday (High 87, Low 69): Becoming mostly sunny. An isolated, lingering shower is possible in the morning.
Thursday (High 89, Low 65): Sunny. Seasonably hot but with low humidity.
Independence Day (High 92, Low 68): Mostly sunny. Seasonably hot but with lower humidity than usual.
Saturday (High 91, Low 70): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Sunday (High 91, Low 71): Mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Monday (High 90, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
Tuesday (High 91, Low 70): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.
As we approach the 5 o' clock hour, latest observations show mostly sunny skies in Cullman. The temperature is 86 degrees. The dewpoint is 75 degrees, making the relative humidity 70%. It also makes the heat index 95 degrees, and it sure does feel like it. Winds are from the Northwest at 7 miles per hour. The pressure is 29.96 inches and falling. The Low temperature this morning was 70.
We've got a cold front pushing through the region here at the first of July. How's that for irony? The stronger thunderstorms right now are focused over about the southern third of Alabama. We've only got a few widely scattered showers and storms up this way in North Alabama up into Tennessee.
And as usual, our morning upper-air soundings showed some unstable air and almost no wind shear in our region.
Tomorrow will be mostly sunny with only a 20% chance of a lingering shower, the High near 86-87, the Low about 67-68.
For Thursday expect sunny skies and look for a High in about the 87-89 range, the Low about 64-67 range.
Then we'll be swingin' on the 4th of July with mostly sunny skies and Highs about 90 or so, Lows in the upper 60's.
The models aren't really showing it until about Monday, but I'm going with climatology and my own good sense/personal past experience and blanketing Saturday through Tuesday with a 20% chance of isolated rain in there with the heat and humidity, more sun than clouds overall, but a mix, Highs near 90, Lows near 70.
The National Hurricane Center is still monitoring the remnants of this front once it gets into the Gulf, the Florida Peninsula, and the Atlantic. Some of it could form into a surface Low that could take on subtropical or tropical characteristic this weekend or early next week. The chance of a tropical cyclone here is relatively low, but they're keeping an eye on it. And anybody doing vacations during this time frame, that's all I'd do: Keep a casual eye on it, just to be on the safe side. But don't lose any sleep over it. Most scenarios like this turn out to be not that big a deal . . . often a total "nothingburger".
Hurricane Flossie is bringing heavy rains and tropical storm force winds to parts of Southwest Mexico, mainly the states of Michoaca'n, Colima, and Jalisco. Its movement is to the Northwest at 7 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 110 mph. It is expected to continue to strengthen over the next day or two, then weaken and dissipate this weekend over water.
It does look like some heavy rains could fall in the Florida Bend and Peninsula in the long range of this forecast period and of course over the Gulf waters. Up this way, our rainfall amounts will tend to be light, averaging less than a half an inch. And this does look like a pretty dry forecast after today for the most part. But you know the joke to summer around here: You can get the only shower or storm in the whole state, and it can sometimes bring you enough rain to go around for everybody else. So of course keep that in mind when viewing these maps, the scattered and seemingly random nature of our summer convection.
