Thursday, June 1, 2023

Feeling Like Summer, Tropical Depression In Gulf

Friday (High 86, Low 64): Mostly sunny. An isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out.

Saturday (High 89, Low 63): Sunny. Seasonably hot.

Sunday (High 90, Low 62): Mostly sunny. Seasonably hot.

Monday (High 88, Low 64): Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Tuesday (High 86, Low 66): Partly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Wednesday (High 87, Low 66): Partly to mostly sunny with a 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms.

Thursday (High 89, Low 65): Mostly sunny.

(Beach Forecast - Gulf Shores)

Friday (High 85, Low 69): Mostly sunny.

Saturday (High 87, Low 70): Sunny.

Sunday (High 87, Low 70): Sunny.

At 4:20 PM the latest observations at Cullman show only a few clouds in the sky, mostly sunny conditions, temperature of 82 degrees, looks like that will be our High for today. The dewpoint is 63 degrees, making the relative humidity 51%. Winds are variable at 5 miles per hour. Generally been from the East/Northeast today. Pressure is 30.01 inches and falling slowly. Our Low this morning was 64. And I took a moment to look at my forecast from yesterday. I thought it would be 83 for the High and 64 for the Low, so pretty close this time. Jasper saw a High of 86 and Low of 61 today. And in Haleyville, High was 83, Low was 64 today. 

Our weather still does not look exciting any time soon, just typical summer heat coming in, but the tropics have become interesting faster than expected. 




That trough of low pressure has formed into a tropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico after all, and is very apparent on radar, satellite imagery, and charted on the weather maps.


And it is now expected to briefly become a tropical storm before weakening back to depression strength this weekend and then affect the western coast of Cuba by Sunday. If it does strengthen to a tropical storm, the name will be "Arlene", first named tropical cyclone of the season. 

Tomorrow looks like a High near 86, Low near 64 again, keep rain chance minimal at 20%. Not even including rain chances for Saturday and Sunday, High near 90, Low in lower 60's. Then as we get into next week, a weak front approaches, enough to justify bringing rain chances to 30% and temperatures more toward mid-80's/mid-60's by Tuesday. Then from Wednesday on, rain chances decrease again and we'll trend more toward hot and dry, may be back up close to 90 by next Thursday. That front on Tuesday will probably wash out and not pass through the region, that's how it usually goes this time of year. 

For the beach forecast, I just look at the National Weather Service forecast and put it into my own words, rarely change anything. Local forecasts I make looking at data myself. 

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