So this tropical depression has indeed strengthened to a tropical storm, and is expected to slowly weaken as it moves generally toward Western Cuba over the weekend into early next week. This system has thrown us a curve by strengthening and changing track, so no major impacts are expected for the Florida Peninsula after all, not even the higher rainfall amounts that were estimated a few days ago. As the core of the system should remain well offshore from there. Of course they are having a few showers and thunderstorms from the outer bands. But that happens with any tropical cyclone that is nearby enough. Folks in Western Cuba might want to watch this thing, but by the time it gets there, it is probably going to be at minimal tropical depression strength or even in a a dissipating stage. Up here in North Alabama or Southern Middle Tennessee, the weather remains boring summer stuff. Which I don't mind after the active spring. Weather here definitely has variety.
107
WTNT32 KNHC 021738 CCA
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Arlene Special Advisory Number 5...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022023
100 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023
Corrected wording in Hazards Affecting Land section
...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED
INTO TROPICAL STORM ARLENE...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 86.2W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM W OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
ABOUT 340 MI...550 KM NNW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 175 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arlene was
located near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 86.2 West. Arlene is
moving toward the south near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is
expected to increase slightly through tonight.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Arlene is expected to weaken by tonight, and it
is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Saturday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
northeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air
Force Hurricane Hunters is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with localized higher
amounts up to 5 inches are possible through Saturday across portions
of the central and southern Florida Peninsula. This rainfall is not
directly related to Tropical Storm Arlene. Regardless, the heavy
rainfall could lead to isolated flash, urban, and small stream
flooding impacts.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hogsett/Delgado
000
WTCA42 TJSJ 021740
TCPSP2
BOLETÍN
Tormenta Tropical Arlene Advertencia Especial Número 5
Centro Nacional de Huracanes del SNM Miami FL AL022023
Traducción Revisada por el SNM San Juan PR
100 PM CDT viernes 02 de junio de 2023
...CAZADORES DE HURACANES DE LA FUERZA AÉREA INDICAN QUE LA
DEPRESIÓN SE HA FORTALECIDO A LA TORMENTA TROPICAL ARLENE...
RESUMEN DE LA 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMACIÓN
----------------------------------------------
LOCALIZACIÓN...26.7N 86.2O
ALREDEDOR DE 265 MI...425 KM AL OESTE DE FT. MYERS FLORIDA
ALREDEDOR DE 340 MI...550 KM AL NOROESTE DEL EXTREMO OESTE DE CUBA
VIENTOS MÁXIMOS SOSTENIDOS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
MOVIMIENTO ACTUAL...SUR O 175 GRADOS A 5 MPH...7 KM/H
PRESIÓN MÍNIMA CENTRAL...1002 MB...29.59 PULGADAS
VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS
--------------------
No hay vigilancias ni avisos costeros en efecto.
DISCUSIÓN Y PERSPECTIVAS
----------------------
A la 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), el centro de la Tormenta Tropical
Arlene estaba localizado cerca de la latitud 26.7 Norte, longitud
86.2 Oeste. Arlene se está moviendo hacia el sur a cerca de 5 mph
(7 km/h) y se espera que este movimiento aumente ligeramente durante
esta noche.
Los vientos máximos sostenidos han aumentado a cerca de 40 mph (65
km/h) con ráfagas más fuertes. Se espera que Arlene se debilite esta
noche, y se pronostica que se convierta en un remanente de baja el
sábado.
Los vientos con fuerza de tormenta tropical se extienden hasta 70
millas (110 km) al noreste del centro.
La presión central mínima estimada basada en los datos de los
Cazadores de Huracanes de la Fuerza Aérea es de 1002 mb (29.59
pulgadas).
PELIGROS AFECTANDO TIERRA
----------------------
LLUVIAS: Cantidades de lluvia de 1 a 2 pulgadas con cantidades más
altas localizadas de hasta 5 pulgadas son posibles hasta el sábado
en sectores del centro y sur de la Península de Florida. Esta lluvia
no está directamente relacionada con la Tormenta Tropical Arlene.
Independientemente, las fuertes lluvias podrían resultar en impactos
aislados de inundaciones repentinas, urbanas y de pequeños
riachuelos.
PRÓXIMA ADVERTENCIA
-------------
Próxima advertencia completa a las 400 PM CDT.
$$
Pronosticador Cangialosi/Hogsett/Delgado
000
WTNT42 KNHC 021724
TCDAT2
Tropical Storm Arlene Special Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022023
100 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023
Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that the
depression has strengthened into a tropical storm. On the last leg
of the current mission, the aircraft found maximum 925
mb flight-level winds of around 50 kt and SFMR surface winds of
around 35 kt. Based on these data, Tropical Depression Two has
been upgraded to Tropical Storm Arlene with estimated peak winds of
35 kt.
Although the storm has strengthened slightly, we still expect
Arlene to weaken soon due to increasing wind shear and dry air, and
no change has been made to the forecast. The next forecast will be
issued at the normal time at 4 pm CDT.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 02/1800Z 26.7N 86.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 03/0000Z 25.6N 86.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 03/1200Z 24.2N 85.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
36H 04/0000Z 23.2N 84.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Hogsett/Delgado
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